Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x447c7407fc2d9be29fef9af0dd8030d9ab8a25e583b6c5941785cebb8f003272

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $741,255
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $314,701

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $741,255 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	3c	22,485$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668.24	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb845…a589backed Yes	11c	20,378$2,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,172.35	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	20,080$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.32	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	19,844$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.06	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	19,746$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.06	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	3c	12,396$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.11	1,780	7.4%132 W · 1,648 L	-23.1wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	10,369$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.24	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	8,865$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	8,232$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.01	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaed4…09afbacked Yes	0c	7,983$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.3	25	8%2 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	3cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5567…6178backed Yes	5c	7,923$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.81	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	7,885$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.49	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61bc…7cbfbacked Yes	1c	7,263$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	1c	7,065$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.04	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	6,769$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.92	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe123…e140backed Yes	1c	6,769$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.41	27	7.4%2 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	6c	6,405$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.84	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	2c	6,278$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.08	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	2c	6,222$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.31	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	10c	6,013$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.24	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	3c	6,000$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	1c	5,849$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.2	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	3c	5,501$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.14	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	4,948$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.31	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	4,700$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.1	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7312…a168backed Yes	10c	4,677$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$457.2	73	1.4%1 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	4,446$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.09	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	0c	4,250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	6c	4,233$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.56	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	1c	4,132$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.79	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	4,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	2c	3,985$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.72	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	4c	3,803$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.21	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	2c	3,525$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c1…194bbacked Yes	0c	3,480$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.21	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	3,397$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.72	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x08b4…624ebacked Yes	1c	3,333$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	8.8%11 W · 114 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	5c	3,310$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.88	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	3,069$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.08	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	3,030$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.92	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	2,840$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.21	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	6c	2,635$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.93	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e7…06c1backed Yes	1c	2,589$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.51	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-88.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	4c	2,521$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.02	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x030a…aad9backed Yes	0c	2,500$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	6c	2,437$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.49	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	2,355$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.97	552	5.6%31 W · 521 L	+15.6wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	1c	2,312$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.67	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	3c	2,289$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.43	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	2,195$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.39	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	0c	2,049$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.08	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e87…4f64backed Yes	2c	2,004$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.92	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	2c	1,966$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.22	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	2c	1,908$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.38	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b4c…4277backed Yes	1c	1,667$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	67	10.4%7 W · 60 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+55.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	2c	1,508$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.95	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	3c	1,492$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.61	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	1c	1,484$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.69	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	3c	1,400$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.3	781	8.7%68 W · 713 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	6c	1,349$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.13	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	8c	1,297$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.27	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977b…40f6backed Yes	1c	1,230$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	64	23.4%15 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	1c	1,201$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.42	558	8.2%46 W · 512 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	2c	1,167$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.99	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347e…4d06backed Yes	12c	1,099$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.8	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	5c	1,044$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.8	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b9a…05f1backed Yes	2c	1,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	3c	896.1$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.08	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	4c	813.65$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	9c	811$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.19	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Yes	7c	774.45$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.42	84	36.9%31 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	5c	744.33$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.7	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	735.96$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.19	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	7c	715$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.05	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	11c	674.97$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.9	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	2c	668.79$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41f…19d2backed Yes	2c	645.24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.13	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	11c	640.25$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.26	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	5c	599.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	731	15.2%111 W · 620 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Yes	2c	599.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	251	27.1%68 W · 183 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd68b…fa13backed Yes	3c	588.18$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.1	44	4.5%2 W · 42 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	5c	582.53$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.96	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	8c	578.63$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.4	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	3c	552.75$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.23	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	7c	527.87$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.78	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb68e…3ebabacked Yes	3c	500.43$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	96	27.1%26 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf663…04debacked Yes	12c	497.91$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.8	43	18.6%8 W · 35 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	8c	481.24$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	4c	470.58$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.63	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	2c	466.84$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.86	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	3c	449.4$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.74	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	9c	440$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	3c	374.21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e98…dadebacked Yes	5c	371.53$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.07	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	+123.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	6c	361.14$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.43	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	7c	329.15$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.51	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	3c	310.74$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.36	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	14c	299.83$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.48	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc30e…4bf0backed Yes	12c	298.37$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.23	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event