Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e36b001debc4e48e52a1b07f39b8efdd387f56c0dab806c9494ab3c9c959556

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $547,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $266,050

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $547,326 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 367 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	15c	12,169$1,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,765.79	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	19c	10,379$1,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,996.91	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa471…8b84backed Yes	2c	10,094$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.87	114	24.6%28 W · 86 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7500…12bdbacked Yes	14c	9,599$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,339.65	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7312…a168backed Yes	0c	8,924$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.02	73	1.4%1 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	0c	8,779$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.76	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	7c	7,247$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.36	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	3c	7,139$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.89	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	14c	6,743$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.13	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	21c	6,476$1,368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,368.1	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	20c	6,217$1,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,231.06	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	19c	6,213$1,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,187.48	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	19c	6,144$1,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,174.97	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	10c	6,000$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	10c	4,869$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.37	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	16c	4,610$743 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.34	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7579…94c6backed No	79c	4,580$3,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$950.02	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	22c	4,442$985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985.31	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5da…ff1dbacked Yes	17c	4,368$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.91	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+59.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	4,131$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.5	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	24c	4,089$977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976.71	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	2c	3,878$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.26	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	19c	3,480$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.87	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	77c	3,326$2,569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$756.43	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	15c	3,239$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.88	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	3,218$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.82	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes	23c	3,067$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.74	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	17c	2,993$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.19	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	23c	2,927$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675.65	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	20c	2,856$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.49	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb313…1ce7backed Yes	18c	2,761$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.31	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	7c	2,702$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.7	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	22c	2,563$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.94	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	7c	2,541$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.9	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	16c	2,534$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.53	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	14c	2,467$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.68	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	15c	2,406$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.64	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	24c	2,358$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.1	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	19c	2,259$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.47	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	19c	2,229$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.03	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	2,150$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.36	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0603…8f62backed Yes	20c	2,083$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.61	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	1c	2,082$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.99	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	2c	2,065$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.83	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	77c	2,000$1,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	12c	1,922$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.68	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	13c	1,849$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.68	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff3…7737backed Yes	19c	1,669$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.23	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ce…12fdbacked Yes	17c	1,584$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267	135	17.8%24 W · 111 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	4c	1,572$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.82	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	26c	1,570$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.77	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	27c	1,519$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.43	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	1,519$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.52	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb6…b279backed Yes	6c	1,490$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.01	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	+3.7wins	+0.16per pick	14cpaid	+251.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	3c	1,371$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.64	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	10c	1,350$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.6	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	19c	1,329$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.59	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	15c	1,325$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.2	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	19c	1,270$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.25	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x091a…bfc9backed Yes	22c	1,258$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.6	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	9c	1,239$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.12	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	7c	1,207$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.2	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ad…32e4backed Yes	2c	1,174$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	132	29.5%39 W · 93 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+29%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb9…0754backed Yes	30c	1,171$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.04	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	19c	1,147$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.33	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b9…7023backed Yes	5c	1,143$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.65	222	27%60 W · 162 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86ff…7bfdbacked Yes	13c	1,138$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.04	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0915…ba41backed Yes	17c	1,100$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	3c	1,060$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.65	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	2c	1,022$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.63	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2957…964ebacked Yes	15c	1,020$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.5	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	22c	1,014$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.12	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked No	79c	1,013$799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.33	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b0…cfa1backed Yes	19c	1,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x967d…ddd4backed Yes	2c	1,000$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	20	35%7 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	17c	1,000$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	22c	999.99$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977b…40f6backed Yes	3c	984.8$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.42	64	23.4%15 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x878d…4f8dbacked Yes	25c	976.12$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.77	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	23c	963.73$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.85	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e9e…7883backed Yes	10c	960.14$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.41	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	5c	924.87$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.13	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e87…4f64backed No	77c	895.08$685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.72	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68f2…ffd2backed Yes	19c	879.99$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.2	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	+733.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64cc…0da1backed Yes	15c	837.15$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.71	111	18.9%21 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	19c	834.8$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.1	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc30e…4bf0backed Yes	20c	834.69$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.94	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf096…28a8backed Yes	14c	797.19$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.63	105	30.5%32 W · 73 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	22c	786.26$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.76	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	18c	759.23$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.38	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf366…425ebacked Yes	18c	757.95$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.43	61	27.9%17 W · 44 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	13c	734.97$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.55	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba3…33e0backed Yes	14c	720.65$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.09	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+5.7wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ea3…36d2backed Yes	22c	717.46$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.75	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb4…0872backed Yes	28c	700$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	67	29.9%20 W · 47 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c35…a328backed Yes	25c	700$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2969…661fbacked Yes	24c	685.91$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.62	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d29…cdabbacked Yes	14c	670$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.36	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	23c	660$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event