Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d6860c41e0d5f8342aaefb1afa26c063f66a82b92f56457e49fe39a22a790b5

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,071,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $744,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,071,322 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 609 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	2c	71,486$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.07	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2379…178ebacked Yes	0c	40,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Yes	0c	32,032$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.03	62	30.6%19 W · 43 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	0c	31,116$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.12	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	9c	22,859$2,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,042.8	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	29c	20,511$5,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,967.88	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa27…f753backed Yes	2c	18,137$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.73	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-66%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes	0c	16,593$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.91	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	4c	13,988$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.79	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed5…72a6backed Yes	2c	12,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	124	29%36 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+110.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	10,500$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.8	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	3c	10,153$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.01	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	9,717$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.88	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	21c	9,510$1,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,997.19	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	10c	8,915$870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.73	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7500…12bdbacked Yes	11c	8,514$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.02	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03a0…e52abacked Yes	29c	8,094$2,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,324.83	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7579…94c6backed No	72c	7,874$5,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,228.38	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5088…8844backed Yes	0c	7,296$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.89	65	24.6%16 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	19c	7,271$1,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,368.98	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	20c	6,886$1,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,401.52	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	5c	6,011$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$318.52	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a1…ebcabacked Yes	21c	5,928$1,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,219.08	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x456a…9d4bbacked Yes	20c	5,368$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,097.29	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	31c	5,339$1,636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,635.61	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	38c	5,303$1,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,994.29	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	69c	5,294$3,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,656.29	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	20c	4,970$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,010.54	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	41c	4,929$2,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,021.82	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	12c	4,529$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.16	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	28c	4,487$1,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,235.19	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe6c…6a67backed Yes	9c	4,400$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	66c	4,047$2,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,359.49	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	37c	3,944$1,463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,463.12	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd75c…cbd4backed No	78c	3,751$2,930 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$821.81	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	58cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	70c	3,745$2,609 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,135.68	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	25c	3,620$922 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$922.02	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	2c	3,450$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	23c	3,423$774 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$774.25	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30e2…77e1backed Yes	37c	3,341$1,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,219.76	86	30.2%26 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	4c	3,316$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.61	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41f0…0191backed Yes	23c	3,190$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$733.62	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	12c	3,159$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.08	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	17c	3,159$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.25	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	39c	3,068$1,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,187.97	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	2c	2,951$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.11	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x302f…a568backed Yes	33c	2,843$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.81	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+272.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf787…3559backed Yes	4c	2,649$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.47	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	1c	2,618$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.03	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes	4c	2,580$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.41	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	77c	2,500$1,935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	1c	2,371$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb087…6658backed Yes	41c	2,353$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.53	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+70.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	37c	2,087$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.82	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2a…f698backed Yes	41c	2,071$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…eac8backed Yes	14c	2,062$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.72	191	24.6%47 W · 144 L	-10.8wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Yes	10c	2,035$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.51	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	19c	2,023$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.97	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	20c	2,003$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.62	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	23c	2,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	3c	2,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2957…964ebacked Yes	25c	2,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.99	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	10c	2,000$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.91	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb4…0872backed Yes	26c	1,999$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.74	67	29.9%20 W · 47 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa471…8b84backed Yes	32c	1,897$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.8	114	24.6%28 W · 86 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	7c	1,867$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.5	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	12c	1,805$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.16	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa323…e0eebacked Yes	18c	1,770$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.61	60	15%9 W · 51 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	3c	1,764$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.19	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	9c	1,750$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.74	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8a…edf9backed No	78c	1,735$1,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.28	51	74.5%38 W · 13 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked Yes	12c	1,706$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.31	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdce6…6069backed Yes	39c	1,702$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.11	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	21c	1,672$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.54	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb4…98c3backed Yes	11c	1,664$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.52	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-84.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes	27c	1,663$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.83	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	22c	1,663$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.87	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765d…2e22backed Yes	2c	1,659$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.51	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	24c	1,629$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.06	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	15c	1,618$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.71	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9906…c0aebacked Yes	3c	1,549$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.55	75	25.3%19 W · 56 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	30c	1,539$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.11	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	70c	1,516$1,063 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.77	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e82…77acbacked Yes	13c	1,485$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.53	159	25.2%40 W · 119 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	28c	1,462$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.96	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	8c	1,450$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	6c	1,445$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.77	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes	14c	1,435$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.78	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68fc…55d3backed Yes	30c	1,413$429 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.18	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	12c	1,403$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.61	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	16c	1,399$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.64	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes	10c	1,369$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.41	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	13c	1,367$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.41	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x019f…1152backed Yes	2c	1,348$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.07	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	2c	1,339$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.33	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	4c	1,327$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.93	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8356…d6cbbacked Yes	25c	1,315$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.01	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0915…ba41backed Yes	23c	1,300$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	38c	1,186$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.22	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d87…f9f9backed Yes	17c	1,160$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.91	99	15.2%15 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event