Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13a162838bdbeec57c497201471b93c092b473d782d1ab71f5da413acc057014

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,631,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,130,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,631,433 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 714 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	22c	49,386$10,745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,744.87	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7579…94c6backed No	42c	28,747$12,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,650.78	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	15c	24,962$3,784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,784.04	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	2c	24,723$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.61	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	4c	24,610$1,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,103.04	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	5c	22,484$1,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,162.43	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	12c	19,276$2,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,404.33	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd82…396ebacked Yes	0c	18,041$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.69	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	6cpaid	+24%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7141…8345backed Yes	23c	16,791$3,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,869.73	151	36.4%55 W · 96 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d3…ba7abacked Yes	3c	16,307$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	14c	14,999$2,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,143.13	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes	3c	12,861$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.62	64	18.8%12 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed No	23c	12,531$2,824 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,706.96	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	16c	12,224$1,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,897.59	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	6c	11,861$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.07	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	32c	11,555$3,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,657.98	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x670d…ff9bbacked Yes	1c	9,971$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.52	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	13c	9,770$1,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,293.66	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a0…c42fbacked Yes	3c	9,280$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	9,263$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.16	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked Yes	2c	9,252$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.48	93	48.4%45 W · 48 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	15c	8,868$1,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,327.36	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6173…d511backed Yes	28c	8,840$2,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,516.18	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes	35c	8,829$3,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,086.03	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x302f…a568backed Yes	8c	8,796$672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.17	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+272.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	10c	8,041$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.76	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	9c	7,769$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.13	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	6c	6,988$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.23	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3457…0161backed Yes	16c	6,942$1,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,112.38	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	6,846$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.37	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes	11c	6,727$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714.32	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	4c	6,252$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.48	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad39…d0d1backed Yes	3c	6,193$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8907…d8e6backed Yes	0c	6,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	8	0%0 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	8c	5,606$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.6	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	12c	5,547$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.39	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	8c	5,504$434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.28	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	72c	5,299$3,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,499.78	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	11c	4,844$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.26	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a5…21dfbacked Yes	5c	4,791$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.07	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	28cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x552c…be63backed Yes	0c	4,603$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.72	143	14%20 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	5c	4,448$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.31	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	2c	4,171$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.11	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	22c	4,169$923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$922.56	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x019f…1152backed Yes	14c	4,165$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.74	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	60c	4,136$2,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,655.41	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1740…d7c0backed No	80c	4,120$3,281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$838.47	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…1c22backed Yes	8c	4,000$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322	59	5.1%3 W · 56 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	57c	3,966$2,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,271.35	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	10c	3,928$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.69	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe6c…6a67backed Yes	10c	3,807$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.46	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299b…8994backed Yes	11c	3,687$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.06	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	5c	3,684$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x070e…47b4backed Yes	1c	3,629$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.85	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93b6…f567backed Yes	1c	3,614$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.58	113	25.7%29 W · 84 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a1…ebcabacked Yes	20c	3,604$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.11	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed No	71c	3,563$2,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,033.15	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	51c	3,507$1,783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,783.19	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	1c	3,492$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.63	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1e07…36a9backed Yes	11c	3,490$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.98	95	11.6%11 W · 84 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	5c	3,436$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.57	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	5c	3,411$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.15	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd897…9b49backed No	77c	3,358$2,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760.75	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	5c	3,342$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.38	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	4c	3,337$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.16	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	28c	3,335$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.54	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x456a…9d4bbacked Yes	18c	3,299$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.79	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb420…3d77backed Yes	1c	3,252$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	36c	3,247$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,178.4	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	17c	3,222$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.77	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	8c	3,087$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.45	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No	72c	3,076$2,203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$872.94	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa230…1cdbbacked Yes	5c	3,059$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.93	105	21.9%23 W · 82 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	7c	3,010$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.78	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	5c	2,975$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.6	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	32c	2,924$934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$934.27	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	11c	2,898$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.04	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes	10c	2,884$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.8	303	17.2%52 W · 251 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeae1…65ecbacked Yes	1c	2,824$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.74	93	17.2%16 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	12c	2,821$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.76	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbced…7f66backed Yes	7c	2,683$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.63	197	26.9%53 W · 144 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	10c	2,675$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.41	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3c…1f3ebacked Yes	40c	2,607$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.85	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	7c	2,586$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.55	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	7c	2,568$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.14	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	0c	2,500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.4	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	6c	2,491$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.41	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	5c	2,468$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.83	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x582c…eb16backed Yes	6c	2,455$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.4	116	13.8%16 W · 100 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	28c	2,393$662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661.74	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa845…563ebacked Yes	18c	2,385$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$431.23	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	9c	2,384$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.77	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	2,308$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.57	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdce6…6069backed Yes	3c	2,300$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.88	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	2,298$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.95	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Yes	1c	2,236$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5d…3e6fbacked Yes	3c	2,196$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.78	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f4e…a12fbacked Yes	42c	2,183$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.15	29	24.1%7 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-36%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	24c	2,183$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.73	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbea2…f8f3backed Yes	51c	2,167$1,115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,114.58	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event