Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36fc230582b05a4c08227d86fa97258075b31c466b665728537c37b2f23f147f

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $442,229
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $246,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,229 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	30,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	0c	20,002$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	0c	17,342$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.88	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	1c	11,600$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	78	0%0 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	1c	8,534$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.67	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	0c	6,825$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf48…136dbacked Yes	2c	5,872$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.42	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3315…dc0abacked Yes	0c	5,401$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	0c	5,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	2c	4,559$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	3c	4,000$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.5	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	14c	3,825$517 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.49	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd71…2b92backed Yes	1c	3,800$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	6cpaid	+131.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	3,762$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.84	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	3,254$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.93	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	2,846$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes	1c	2,791$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	50	6%3 W · 47 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	5c	2,636$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.97	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…08c7backed Yes	2c	2,600$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	86	19.8%17 W · 69 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	4c	2,500$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6c…2ce1backed Yes	1c	2,252$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.51	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2957…964ebacked Yes	9c	2,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	5c	2,208$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.82	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6173…d511backed Yes	4c	2,113$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.43	18	0%0 W · 18 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	1c	2,085$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.07	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	2,009$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.12	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	2c	1,910$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.13	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e8…f98fbacked Yes	1c	1,839$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.55	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	+7.0wins	+0.19per pick	18cpaid	+97%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8793…4b62backed Yes	2c	1,825$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.55	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-85%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	14c	1,720$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.91	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	1,711$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.25	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…02c6backed Yes	1c	1,687$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+4.2wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	1,509$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.06	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	1c	1,500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	15c	1,486$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.03	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	8c	1,454$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.47	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,243$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.59	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	2c	1,238$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.91	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	1,215$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63c4…f595backed Yes	2c	1,200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	10.4%8 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95d8…2922backed Yes	1c	1,056$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.17	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a1…ebcabacked Yes	1c	1,043$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.47	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	1,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe133…6994backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	104	32.7%34 W · 70 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a0…fb10backed Yes	2c	998.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.56	140	26.4%37 W · 103 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	13c	976.97$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.94	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	3c	966.64$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.31	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	920.54$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.58	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89b8…82b2backed Yes	10c	875.61$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.56	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x019f…1152backed Yes	13c	849.63$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.69	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bc…79d1backed Yes	5c	826.74$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.99	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	4c	807.47$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.22	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa15…65b1backed Yes	1c	804.55$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.77	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e45…9e45backed Yes	12c	800.75$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.08	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ba…67e9backed Yes	10c	799.99$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	113	13.3%15 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5e…8054backed Yes	13c	750.76$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.06	92	22.8%21 W · 71 L	+7.2wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+151.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes	3c	668.25$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.2	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	17c	655.22$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.62	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb603…58febacked Yes	3c	633.58$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.25	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1aa…6ba0backed Yes	15c	620.13$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.48	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-39.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	8c	604.54$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.46	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	9c	570.54$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	4c	568.11$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.34	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	8c	546.45$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.39	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	9c	502.59$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.23	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6868…5198backed Yes	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	12c	499.96$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.5	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f0…1d60backed Yes	14c	497.04$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.59	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2099…3710backed Yes	3c	451.36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.31	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	2c	439.45$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09ec…d3f7backed Yes	10c	415.05$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.63	62	11.3%7 W · 55 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c06…fbadbacked Yes	6c	411.82$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.71	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d0f…bea9backed Yes	12c	400.24$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.03	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+64.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	8c	400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	12c	400$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0617…3070backed Yes	12c	400$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	152	12.5%19 W · 133 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33dc…5051backed Yes	12c	386.82$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.59	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	3c	384$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.37	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecb0…a422backed Yes	9c	365.68$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.91	168	14.9%25 W · 143 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-40%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2280…4ef5backed Yes	14c	363.49$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.21	82	15.9%13 W · 69 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd04…2599backed Yes	13c	327.38$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.01	168	17.3%29 W · 139 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22ce…7f27backed Yes	15c	304.28$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.75	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc30e…4bf0backed Yes	10c	303.3$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.33	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaef1…4058backed Yes	13c	299.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	264	10.6%28 W · 236 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-23%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3785…3b01backed Yes	12c	299.29$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.49	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	19cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	17c	297.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.43	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e9e…7883backed Yes	13c	296.95$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.93	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…4cc5backed Yes	15c	292.8$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.92	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f9e…10c8backed Yes	13c	291.13$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.85	56	12.5%7 W · 49 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88fd…1b6bbacked Yes	6c	281.92$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x302e…88ccbacked Yes	11c	276$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.68	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd768…5105backed Yes	15c	274.5$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.18	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	9c	254.97$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.4	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdac…06fabacked Yes	13c	237.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.37	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe329…6d5ebacked Yes	7c	230$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.21	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb129…4764backed Yes	12c	228$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.36	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-4.3wins	-0.21per pick	36cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event