Movies · resolved market
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bfde055005481f7ff7a147a2836b4b616a37d42a2ae00cd5bf540fd874b6c93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb028…8686backed No | 77c | 10,827$8,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,360.95 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 15c | 7,021$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,939.2 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…3e12backed Yes | 36c | 5,150$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308.99 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +155.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 44c | 4,984$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.63 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…990fbacked No | 64c | 4,437$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.71 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 30c | 3,522$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.15 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ef…be38backed Yes | 42c | 3,316$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.54 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb8…69edbacked Yes | 4c | 3,100$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 74c | 2,714$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.72 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 46c | 2,000$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.89 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 66c | 1,973$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.76 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,808$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.71 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 45c | 1,601$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.34 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 10c | 1,600$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 9cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked Yes | 37c | 1,357$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.98 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 75c | 1,291$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.15 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,290$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.16 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 79c | 1,160$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.55 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 31c | 1,127$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.42 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 53c | 1,008$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.68 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…c4d7backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +9,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…f596backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +9,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba5…9d01backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,900%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 17c | 987.72$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.77 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 61c | 949.5$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 32c | 872.47$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.38 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 46c | 818.53$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.88 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 17c | 803$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.64 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 45c | 648.39$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.98 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed Yes | 65c | 612.15$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.65 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 22c | 600$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked No | 74c | 600$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 25c | 562.83$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.54 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 18c | 500$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…00e6backed Yes | 40c | 500$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.3 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 28c | 428$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.16 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…6566backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 41c | 399.29$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.18 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6806…1429backed Yes | 80c | 334$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 12c | 332$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 57c | 298.48$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 28c | 297.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.45 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 71c | 276$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 9c | 271.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 26cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 25c | 263.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.86 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 16c | 260$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.4 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…7717backed Yes | 36c | 238.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.76 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…cd66backed Yes | 32c | 211.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…601abacked Yes | 12c | 204.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.93 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…a739backed Yes | 20c | 201$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked Yes | 70c | 200$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 199.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 10c | 192.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.19 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 14c | 186.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.14 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Yes | 13c | 186$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 52c | 176.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…7311backed Yes | 31c | 170$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked Yes | 12c | 166$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.08 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Yes | 13c | 154.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 28c | 152.4$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 68c | 152.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 21c | 135$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.65 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yes | 47c | 117.63$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 117.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 116 | 4.3%5 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Yes | 13c | 116.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…23d1backed Yes | 39c | 114.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…80aebacked Yes | 41c | 114.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 50c | 114$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…404abacked Yes | 12c | 112.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.15 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea7…60babacked Yes | 43c | 101.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…5499backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…b703backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…611abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 35c | 99.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.32 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 25c | 98.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…997ebacked Yes | 16c | 93.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93e…7195backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 25cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed No | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 57c | 78.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…d74fbacked Yes | 16c | 76.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +77%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Yes | 40c | 75.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked No | 40c | 74.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e1c5backed Yes | 20c | 73.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7363…d406backed No | 78c | 70.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe61d…e172backed Yes | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…c5a2backed Yes | 71c | 55.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed No | 74c | 55.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 30c | 55.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0bc…5601backed Yes | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?this page
- Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?No won
- Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6.5m?No won
- Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6.5m and 8m?No won
- Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.