Movies · resolved market
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9baeb717cf50b482fd75d6b3906ef2c83a71b9d507a4ec18cfd27cf30268f2c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 38c | 8,494$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,240.35 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 27c | 5,836$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,263.22 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…35cebacked Yes | 19c | 4,562$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.93 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 79c | 4,000$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +19.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 23c | 3,500$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,705.95 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 72c | 3,264$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.8 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 40c | 3,111$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.33 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 23c | 2,725$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.27 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 33c | 2,551$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.76 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 76c | 2,300$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.12 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 58c | 2,175$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.09 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 15c | 2,132$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.08 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 21c | 2,034$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.57 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 18c | 1,509$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.37 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 33c | 1,293$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.16 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 31c | 1,164$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.14 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 24c | 1,158$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.67 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 36c | 1,058$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.19 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…9b10backed Yes | 18c | 961.41$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.36 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 77c | 935.88$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.62 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…cae1backed Yes | 16c | 775$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +161.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yes | 13c | 769.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.88 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 12c | 692.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.56 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked Yes | 50c | 676.85$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.19 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed No | 75c | 664.9$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.77 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 16c | 630$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 23c | 622.15$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.21 | 473 | 28.3%134 W · 339 L | -32.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…cb5ebacked Yes | 80c | 602.11$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 23c | 546.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.4 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 14c | 513.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.01 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 16c | 505.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.74 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 470.37$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 13c | 466$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.42 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 38cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x159e…050ebacked Yes | 20c | 443$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.86 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 79c | 420$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.8 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…2b1fbacked Yes | 31c | 412.01$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.01 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d9…780fbacked No | 62c | 392.88$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +287.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5289…e8e5backed Yes | 38c | 392.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +161.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8b…00a3backed Yes | 19c | 368.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 68c | 356.63$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.31 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bc…a87fbacked No | 26c | 343.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 46c | 322.1$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked No | 72c | 315.08$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…4a6ebacked Yes | 66c | 300.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 28c | 300$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…4053backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 18c | 291.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.94 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 78c | 287$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 64c | 283.64$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 35c | 280$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.93 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 16c | 265.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 74c | 261.39$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.45 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 16c | 242$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.28 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce1b…132fbacked Yes | 26c | 240$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 22c | 221$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.22 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed Yes | 41c | 218.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.55 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Yes | 27c | 210.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.51 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…3816backed Yes | 30c | 200.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…0ae9backed Yes | 39c | 190.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 29c | 181$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.07 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad6…3a55backed Yes | 36c | 166.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 164.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x19db…7636backed Yes | 32c | 162.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.44 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 26c | 161.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.49 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 16c | 161.68$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.07 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 24c | 160$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…7717backed Yes | 25c | 147.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.12 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 51c | 140.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 18c | 140.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 49c | 139.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…db5bbacked Yes | 59c | 130.39$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 16c | 121.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 17c | 118.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 19c | 118.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8958…e945backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a31…335fbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b53…6ff7backed Yes | 24c | 92.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 76c | 91.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cf…a34abacked Yes | 19c | 90.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5548…9cc6backed Yes | 23c | 90$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed Yes | 25c | 88.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 18c | 85.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 12c | 85.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…1fc0backed Yes | 35c | 84.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 29c | 83.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 30c | 78.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…2ac1backed Yes | 16c | 78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 15c | 75.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9400…4f20backed No | 79c | 70.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd194…24b8backed Yes | 46c | 66.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…b68fbacked Yes | 31c | 64.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 77c | 62.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 67c | 60.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae85…a62ebacked No | 38c | 60.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Yes | 67c | 57.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…1c5bbacked Yes | 24c | 54.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x978d…5eddbacked Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?this page
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.