Movies · resolved market
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6afa030e663b0ae969e590b76eeacfcbf63cc673e882c4145a51687a11e0c5b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 0c | 16,677$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,741$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 15c | 4,138$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.22 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 7c | 3,122$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.11 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,731$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.53 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,175$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 1,857$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 6c | 1,571$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…9fb2backed Yes | 1c | 1,369$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 10c | 1,146$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.86 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 1,095$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 10c | 1,092$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.33 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 4.7%3 W · 61 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 4c | 841.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Yes | 26c | 741.29$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.25 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yes | 14c | 739.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a52…3e04backed Yes | 11c | 710.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.23 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x159e…050ebacked Yes | 12c | 700$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 13c | 646.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 8c | 600$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…170cbacked Yes | 20c | 600$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…7717backed Yes | 4c | 518.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 6c | 499.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 24c | 499.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.71 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 12c | 488.53$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed Yes | 13c | 486$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 13c | 408.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 8c | 392.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 380.23$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 14c | 371.88$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 11c | 329$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed Yes | 12c | 303$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 4c | 270.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Yes | 17c | 270$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 210.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…ba97backed Yes | 10c | 197.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 12c | 164.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…f32cbacked Yes | 20c | 152.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…1936backed Yes | 11c | 130$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8321…c826backed Yes | 10c | 129.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 11c | 118.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a9…3d61backed Yes | 27c | 107.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93c…d7ecbacked Yes | 19c | 104.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e00…2980backed Yes | 16c | 96.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0c…af7abacked Yes | 26c | 95.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb2…590abacked No | 76c | 94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +178.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56e4…91e9backed Yes | 15c | 72.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e1c5backed Yes | 15c | 68.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…830dbacked Yes | 18c | 58.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 20c | 54.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8d…9438backed Yes | 22c | 51.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 49.57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9400…4f20backed No | 79c | 16.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…98e9backed No | 78c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?this page
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 30m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?Yes won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 65m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.