TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Movies · resolved market

Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,443
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,443 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Movies
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x682d…4cd6backed Yes1c22,507$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7132814.9%49 W · 279 L+14.2wins+0.04per pick11cpaid-59.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Yes1c14,109$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.18644.7%3 W · 61 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-74.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5095…93eebacked Yes7c8,926$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.529642.6%126 W · 170 L+22.9wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5409…9fb2backed Yes0c6,583$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes5c5,992$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.3732739.1%128 W · 199 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes12c5,167$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.0523321.5%50 W · 183 L+1.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes5c4,231$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.76567.1%4 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-79.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4155…35cebacked Yes19c4,084$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.382441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes12c3,038$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.6228524.2%69 W · 216 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1920…a04ebacked Yes5c2,747$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0112631%39 W · 87 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-40.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4da7…355ebacked Yes23c2,641$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.57538.7%29 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes10c2,538$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.8726041.2%107 W · 153 L+15.4wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6018…170cbacked Yes11c2,522$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.0913635.3%48 W · 88 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes3c2,175$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4113735%48 W · 89 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-35.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes3c1,789$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.482781.8%5 W · 273 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes3c1,704$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.022516%4 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes2c1,498$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.691231.6%2 W · 121 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-69.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x401e…6fc9backed Yes18c1,466$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6417540%70 W · 105 L-0.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes2c1,390$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.162119.5%20 W · 191 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed Yes24c1,363$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.5718746%86 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes3c1,244$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.432722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf058…e173backed Yes33c1,135$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.05922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x056f…e487backed Yes8c1,095$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8712030%36 W · 84 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f96…dd2ebacked Yes2c1,068$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1940%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6395…6735backed Yes4c1,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362556%14 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes5c974.49$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.682013.5%7 W · 194 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-47.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe78…c533backed No75c930$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.529735.7%106 W · 191 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce1b…132fbacked Yes3c900$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick15cpaid+92.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes5c833.1$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.932042.9%6 W · 198 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-51.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Yes20c616.47$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8626431.1%82 W · 182 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a31…335fbacked Yes3c600$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1851…ae47backed Yes3c599.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41030%3 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick16cpaid-14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes25c599.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9947328.3%134 W · 339 L-32.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d0a…1936backed Yes5c556.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.13180%0 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes5c526.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513820.3%28 W · 110 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ae6…a9ffbacked Yes4c514.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaae6…4053backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf933…52fbbacked Yes15c499.64$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7312240.2%49 W · 73 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f89…4d15backed Yes4c468.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes19c404.18$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8315054.7%82 W · 68 L+30.5wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+62.6%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x4e7b…d6c0backed Yes3c334.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-48.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes4c332.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.012412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-31.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd732…ebb4backed Yes4c330$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37fc…7717backed Yes6c322.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202825%7 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c58…1fc0backed Yes6c309.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes35c302.67$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1615149%74 W · 77 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5383…3fa5backed Yes4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9991…702fbacked Yes4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9022…db5bbacked Yes6c291.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3be0…9836backed No76c260$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Yes18c259.79$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.694626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bca…b60abacked Yes9c220.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8111421.9%25 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcffe…146dbacked Yes29c200$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5712936.4%47 W · 82 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-25.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47cf…a34abacked Yes8c198.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+163.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44fd…b634backed Yes22c184.76$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…ec5ebacked Yes7c179.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.383716.2%6 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-58%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes9c168$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1219133%63 W · 128 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02fe…5af0backed Yes6c167$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8c…ad4bbacked No80c153.6$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.351040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes10c144.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0910827.8%30 W · 78 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7022…f64ebacked Yes21c126.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.065549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Yes12c116.65$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.113534.8%47 W · 88 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes25c115.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8548414%68 W · 416 L-39.3wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8958…e945backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick23cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bc…a87fbacked No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-48.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb51…f32cbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104425%11 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6245…2ac1backed Yes16c97.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a52…3e04backed Yes21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-27.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04c…b68fbacked Yes26c64.12$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.67333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8bb…e1c5backed Yes18c60.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.15944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x978d…5eddbacked Yes29c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.283426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-48.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ce3…1924backed Yes24c49.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45a7…0a2ebacked No74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+171.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6447…6d83backed No78c35.46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ea…7d79backed No76c32.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.822100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c29…bd99backed No77c32.47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.471353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3925…c094backed No78c31.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.881338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0467…a1ebbacked No78c20.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513034.6%45 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c35…afa8backed No75c16.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+68.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9400…4f20backed No80c14.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.81947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No78c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.863046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.