Earnings · resolved market
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c6a1951fc8f841356ef67415f6e79155f74d0e7d50c1ab2ad7ce149b0279c09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe71a…66ebbacked Yes | 15c | 18,700$2,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,844 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +554.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c1…d24ebacked No | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f2…4b52backed No | 0c | 9,094$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1219…e791backed Yes | 39c | 4,999$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 14c | 3,573$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.28 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 23c | 3,263$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,503.34 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5882…387abacked Yes | 40c | 2,588$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b63…1147backed No | 74c | 2,023$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked No | 58c | 2,010$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.49 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…be97backed No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa294…52eabacked Yes | 32c | 1,942$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 69c | 1,783$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.2 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e2…36b0backed Yes | 52c | 1,736$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed Yes | 26c | 1,602$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.96 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 27c | 1,400$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.99 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…8120backed No | 71c | 1,069$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.79 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 49c | 1,056$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.02 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…507cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,030$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +104%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86d5…11b6backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 71c | 999.93$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…ba0bbacked No | 74c | 987.02$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe382…f187backed No | 72c | 977.06$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…6da4backed No | 62c | 935.1$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +252.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 28c | 928.46$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.33 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb28…3750backed Yes | 29c | 862.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +245%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 28c | 800$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bed…6afabacked No | 65c | 771.31$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5400…1342backed No | 41c | 744.1$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.59 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 58c | 716.97$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 696.19$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.86 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 22c | 599.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.99 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943b…fe84backed No | 68c | 588.12$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 42c | 571.42$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.42 | 207 | 42%87 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73be…9a59backed Yes | 38c | 537.61$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 527.56$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.17 | 312 | 29.8%93 W · 219 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…3c85backed Yes | 21c | 484.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +384.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 472.77$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.76 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc6…0454backed Yes | 21c | 466.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.58 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…ea7ebacked No | 76c | 434.39$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813c…6c92backed Yes | 36c | 420.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…177fbacked Yes | 20c | 409.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.77 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 72c | 403.17$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.49 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked No | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c57…c8e6backed No | 66c | 393.39$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…ec6abacked No | 60c | 364.82$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 23c | 351.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f4…bf68backed Yes | 29c | 345.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.48 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -8.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…be9cbacked Yes | 31c | 327.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +227.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed No | 77c | 325.34$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed No | 44c | 320$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes | 36c | 306.08$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +215.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6799…1047backed Yes | 16c | 304.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.29 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Yes | 35c | 300.91$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…e84fbacked No | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…e623backed No | 76c | 299.98$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf401…5cacbacked Yes | 26c | 299.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed Yes | 28c | 298.89$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.68 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa6…0a65backed Yes | 31c | 295.21$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.68 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 290.74$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.58 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e3…926cbacked No | 75c | 290.24$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 64c | 288.32$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.15 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x344f…413bbacked No | 77c | 268.5$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 76c | 264.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…2d13backed No | 61c | 256.82$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…6fddbacked No | 61c | 255.58$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 27c | 240$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.4 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -20.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 43c | 233.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed No | 63c | 224.79$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.42 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked Yes | 23c | 215.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +331.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 29c | 204.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.51 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e96…a7e0backed No | 64c | 203.81$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22f…7714backed No | 72c | 202.21$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed No | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.75 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9226…56c8backed No | 62c | 199.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…e8c0backed Yes | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +142.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1539…33f2backed No | 79c | 199.98$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…17b5backed Yes | 29c | 199.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +250.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cf…20d4backed No | 68c | 197.16$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked No | 75c | 188.72$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…cfafbacked No | 68c | 186$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed Yes | 27c | 180.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.67 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…454fbacked No | 62c | 175.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…bf7fbacked No | 74c | 166.93$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…af3dbacked No | 70c | 166.89$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…ce41backed Yes | 32c | 158.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +210.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7a…95a4backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 13c | 153$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…7e9cbacked No | 80c | 150.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…8eb7backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…fc42backed No | 74c | 149.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff56…eea1backed No | 67c | 148.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed No | 68c | 147.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 146.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.82 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…6a34backed No | 80c | 140.94$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…90dbbacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.