Movies · resolved market
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf562feabe9922f78e99b488df4fcef6be8cbc831605388751538d178585007aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $263,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,441 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4155…35cebacked No | 19c | 15,631$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 63c | 12,371$7,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,516.02 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…fa1dbacked No | 0c | 4,494$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…11e3backed Yes | 33c | 3,950$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,662.85 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 26cpaid | +6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 57c | 2,928$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.46 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked Yes | 79c | 2,595$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.37 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 77c | 2,526$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.38 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 10c | 2,106$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.91 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 20c | 1,956$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.66 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 31c | 1,666$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.7 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.62 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes | 73c | 1,125$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.79 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked No | 30c | 1,067$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.57 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yes | 31c | 1,058$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.87 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.33 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…f46cbacked No | 6c | 1,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8382…f44ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 999.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 45c | 988.66$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.47 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…1c2ebacked Yes | 78c | 938.62$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed Yes | 60c | 934.66$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad5…7492backed No | 41c | 907.84$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 73c | 864.03$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.92 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked No | 20c | 845.97$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 73c | 738.29$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.13 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed No | 2c | 726.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 8c | 663.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 12c | 632.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed No | 10c | 607.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…78dfbacked Yes | 76c | 567.78$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 60c | 520.19$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.71 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…7ee2backed Yes | 71c | 500$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4986…8bc9backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Yes | 76c | 499.99$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…1c22backed Yes | 31c | 483.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.48 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked Yes | 78c | 445.79$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.3 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Yes | 68c | 441.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.41 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +485.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed Yes | 55c | 432.91$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.77 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e2…bb87backed Yes | 23c | 400$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.74 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 398.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495d…8ff3backed Yes | 77c | 390.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 7c | 390.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Yes | 30c | 387.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…5830backed Yes | 69c | 382.26$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.38 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 19c | 377.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 154 | 9.7%15 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked Yes | 78c | 364.85$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 32c | 293.78$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.81 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 33c | 273.83$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.63 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 14c | 268.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 18c | 260.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.03 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x376e…d654backed Yes | 12c | 259.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 18c | 243.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.62 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…09d4backed Yes | 21c | 240.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 25c | 220.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…0ef9backed Yes | 79c | 215.22$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…3572backed Yes | 76c | 187.89$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 13c | 176$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 79c | 160.52$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…0345backed Yes | 63c | 158.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 78c | 146.21$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7731…c804backed Yes | 41c | 146$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…c8b5backed Yes | 41c | 146$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…e7acbacked Yes | 41c | 144$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 73c | 137.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed Yes | 75c | 137.18$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4860…2690backed Yes | 63c | 136.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43be…a566backed Yes | 41c | 135$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…8d4dbacked Yes | 41c | 132$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb95…4bbbbacked Yes | 41c | 128$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28cf…1b1abacked Yes | 41c | 124$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked Yes | 25c | 116.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…663fbacked No | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e82…8fefbacked No | 59c | 108$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…3837backed No | 59c | 105$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd9…97a7backed Yes | 78c | 102.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 47c | 102.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfecf…f607backed No | 59c | 101$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9a…e3eebacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b36…473bbacked Yes | 77c | 99.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9f…c2cebacked No | 59c | 99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…c55bbacked No | 59c | 98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ce…b8e2backed No | 59c | 94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…b254backed No | 59c | 94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77a…2d48backed No | 59c | 92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b1…5e3dbacked No | 17c | 89.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb1…d2d7backed Yes | 41c | 87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8075…d181backed No | 59c | 86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…14abbacked Yes | 68c | 85.01$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6c…3ccdbacked Yes | 28c | 71.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +256.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93e…7195backed Yes | 28c | 71.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.28per pick | 25cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 35c | 69.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf7…4307backed Yes | 42c | 69.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3d47backed Yes | 74c | 67.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 36c | 67.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 66 | 19.7%13 W · 53 L | -14.5wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 80c | 65.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151c…5a62backed Yes | 77c | 65.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 61c | 64.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 59c | 56.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed Yes | 29c | 56.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?this page
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?No won
- Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.