Movies · resolved market
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52030aa0da19332af6acd888f99c0a112faa088135ec3094ba78928c25fae330
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,848 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4155…35cebacked Yes | 19c | 31,766$5,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,965.63 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 20c | 3,423$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.01 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 70c | 3,005$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.71 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 27c | 2,198$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.3 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 21c | 2,000$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.8 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 55c | 1,811$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.76 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 59c | 1,580$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.14 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 18c | 1,504$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.65 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,363$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 108 | 14.8%16 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,346$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 40c | 1,238$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 26c | 1,100$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.04 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,044$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 48 | 8.3%4 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70a7…b884backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…962abacked No | 33c | 996.1$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed Yes | 67c | 937.91$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd416…d9e2backed Yes | 60c | 848.9$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.3 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Yes | 18c | 844.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 16c | 830$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked No | 69c | 724.8$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.91 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 73c | 700$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…dd95backed Yes | 75c | 603.81$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 15c | 571$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 34c | 547.87$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.31 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 59c | 525.73$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.94 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 494.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 437.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…9141backed No | 33c | 403.49$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63da…9146backed Yes | 3c | 380$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 12c | 359.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Yes | 33c | 340$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 10c | 334.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 30c | 333.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 17c | 330$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4860…2690backed Yes | 41c | 292.45$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yes | 56c | 284.44$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Yes | 76c | 277.84$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.16 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…09d4backed Yes | 32c | 268.27$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 15c | 253$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea5…3fdabacked Yes | 24c | 247.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd981…2da8backed Yes | 75c | 243.94$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked No | 76c | 239.19$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 55c | 238.87$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 76c | 229.15$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.61 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 223.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…ee3ebacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a6…1c2ebacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9024…1b00backed No | 43c | 197$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…a11bbacked Yes | 15c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 75c | 158.06$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 31c | 151$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a0…5676backed Yes | 59c | 150$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ee…7b86backed No | 43c | 145$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 32c | 136.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…7283backed Yes | 73c | 136.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.47per pick | 59cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…50b1backed No | 43c | 136$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 15c | 135.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f9…f662backed No | 43c | 134$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…01cbbacked Yes | 18c | 131.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 62c | 124.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.2 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…f2e2backed No | 43c | 124$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…5fc1backed No | 43c | 122$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 47c | 113.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…08cbbacked Yes | 73c | 109.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…22c9backed Yes | 64c | 106.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.13 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…4001backed Yes | 28c | 105.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 74c | 104.42$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9980…1a35backed Yes | 57c | 104$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528d…dddfbacked Yes | 57c | 101$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a9…01e6backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…d755backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…d1b4backed Yes | 25c | 99.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5c…05debacked Yes | 57c | 97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…5f07backed Yes | 57c | 97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4a…6cb1backed Yes | 27c | 92.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked No | 30c | 90.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.88 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…9588backed Yes | 57c | 89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…fd36backed Yes | 57c | 89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…1ec7backed Yes | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…7b6abacked Yes | 57c | 87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 36c | 70.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…3572backed Yes | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6309…41bbbacked Yes | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 78c | 65.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 18c | 65.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…572cbacked Yes | 73c | 63.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 37c | 63.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbb…b157backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 28c | 60.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b6…73b3backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed No | 75c | 56$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea7…60babacked No | 69c | 55.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 65c | 53.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08dc…61d9backed No | 46c | 51.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559a…c9a3backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 40c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?this page
- Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?No won
- Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.