Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8906d10b0d3a77cf40e09114250377961a7b65e7f5558139e7775af076720a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Execration
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,500$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.4 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Execration | 25c | 1,452$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.3 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…3ef3backed Execration | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Execration | 4c | 765.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 77c | 250.75$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.95 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Execration | 17c | 219.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Execration | 11c | 195$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…ed23backed Execration | 25c | 155$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…811ebacked Execration | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Execration | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Execration | 30c | 97.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Team Spirit | 72c | 89.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed Team Spirit | 70c | 78.6$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Execration | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 311 | 43.4%135 W · 176 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Team Spirit | 72c | 39.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…04b6backed Team Spirit | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…0f49backed Team Spirit | 69c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebc…0aaabacked Team Spirit | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed Team Spirit | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 49 | 83.7%41 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Team Spirit | 68c | 24.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x586e…2430backed Team Spirit | 76c | 23.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Team Spirit | 72c | 17.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…a6ebbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…072dbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…c0c2backed Team Spirit | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Execration (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Execration - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Execration - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.