TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$24,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c4,718$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.9983440.8%340 W · 494 L-35.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c4,288$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,351.387,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under33c3,048$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.3966047.6%314 W · 346 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed Over68c1,993$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3555350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over68c1,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0204153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90026949.8%134 W · 135 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbab6…50a2backed Over60c1,300$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7801323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-49.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c1,094$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.912,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over61c982.63$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.210759.8%64 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad5c…664abacked Over67c738.21$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over68c625$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.532171.4%15 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick71cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under32c563.05$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.8754650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over67c522.39$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35013662.5%85 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under75c512.2$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3498552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Under29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3554946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over54c490$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.5210734.6%37 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over60c488.92$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.375463%34 W · 20 L+10.5wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+63.1%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over73c476.71$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34820572.2%148 W · 57 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over23c393$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.398429.8%25 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over44c392.61$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.752544%11 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over56c385.19$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2168558.8%50 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over59c340.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011746.2%54 W · 63 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over46c308.7$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14222727.8%63 W · 164 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd76…b935backed Over45c299.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc647…2f03backed Over69c260.25$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801650%8 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over66c240$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.419954.3%108 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over51c235.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12031661.7%195 W · 121 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over66c233.6$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15527864.4%179 W · 99 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under32c224.25$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.22,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2039…acddbacked Over63c222.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b4…f0d0backed Over46c220.38$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under33c209$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.96445.3%29 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13667050.6%339 W · 331 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over64c185.9$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0243546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over58c169.99$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.551356.3%289 W · 224 L+23.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over76c166.41$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.477652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over68c147$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.965662.5%35 W · 21 L+10.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+43.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over68c147$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.963348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x760b…6dc8backed Over57c142.11$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over56c133.43$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757949.4%39 W · 40 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fa0…aa66backed Over77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002665.4%17 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over30c127$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.18530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over48c125$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020241.6%84 W · 118 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over45c112.76$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7439850%199 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6223061.3%141 W · 89 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5993845.4%426 W · 512 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016725.7%43 W · 124 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over67c89.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026653.4%142 W · 124 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c84.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.682,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over33c84.51$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.475,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe1…a6ebbacked Over66c81$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4620%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x874d…c888backed Under34c81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+148.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over59c80$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.210550.5%53 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under49c75.61$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3750146.1%231 W · 270 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over66c74.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2421254.7%116 W · 96 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over59c70$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.959256.5%52 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over51c69.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Over67c69.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3513959%82 W · 57 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over51c68.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354355.8%24 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over53c65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.454257.1%24 W · 18 L+7.1wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+40.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.348253.7%44 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x282a…2866backed Over40c64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.61323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-49.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8d4…651cbacked Over61c54.65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.55633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-56.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over25c53.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.359456.4%53 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4e…19e9backed Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517850.6%90 W · 88 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over65c48.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.821060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4c0…dac7backed Under34c42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc484…4123backed Over66c42$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.24856.3%27 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e2…66e2backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203745.9%17 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-23.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4255…6dd5backed Under34c38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.033100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+125.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd83…c0c2backed Over66c38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ec…27c4backed Under57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.09862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202544%11 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8d4…f7dcbacked Under39c33.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+88.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205657.1%32 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Over60c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6719146.6%89 W · 102 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over41c30.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.432,30942.8%988 W · 1,321 L-41.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b2…5f43backed Over66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.92334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011256.3%63 W · 49 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over67c29.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025263.5%160 W · 92 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over43c28.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.547054.3%38 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over59c28.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.765554.5%30 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc674…e9f8backed Over71c27.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75b1…9b98backed Over66c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa507…4e3abacked Over46c23.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111573.3%11 W · 4 L+5.2wins+0.35per pick39cpaid+89.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over65c21.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2643721.7%95 W · 342 L-49.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-50.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x38d5…865bbacked Under70c15.91$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.