Other European Leagues · resolved market
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa51238893d1adaf1bffc2e18f617462dd1c9db21eea3bca10255ee128dbe729a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 35c | 2,943$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.98 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 35c | 1,195$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.43 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…fb98backed Yes | 65c | 1,057$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Yes | 65c | 999.88$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.96 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 43c | 650.83$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5508…5a70backed Yes | 66c | 650.45$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 64c | 576.08$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.39 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 36c | 394.69$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Yes | 57c | 348.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 344.34$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3f…e8a6backed Yes | 65c | 329.69$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.39 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 39c | 208.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 34c | 172.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 66c | 153.81$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Yes | 52c | 96.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 54.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 46.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Yes | 66c | 43.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca7…4d26backed Yes | 66c | 42.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 57c | 34.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 60c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 64c | 29.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…a408backed Yes | 67c | 24.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AFC Ajax vs. NEC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 2.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.