NBA · resolved market

Spread: Bucks (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa25ef5b0c2f42014c12a429d17c875470cff054fc57a7353490e8e27cc85b952

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bucksof Bucks, Mavericks
Resolved: Apr 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $66,638
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,638 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x08c5…43edbacked Bucks	52c	9,615$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,615.38	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Bucks	53c	9,212$4,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,286.73	104	59.6%62 W · 42 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+23%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Mavericks	48c	9,199$4,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,416.2	290	55.5%161 W · 129 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Bucks	52c	7,986$4,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,833.37	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks	47c	4,070$1,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,905.83	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks	47c	3,824$1,791 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,790.63	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks	50c	3,449$1,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,735.73	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Bucks	55c	3,000$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,349.98	480	54.2%260 W · 220 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks	49c	2,365$1,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,203.66	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Mavericks	40c	2,266$907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$906.56	796	50.9%405 W · 391 L	+63.2wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Mavericks	46c	2,266$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036.68	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks	53c	2,075$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Bucks	55c	1,780$979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks	53c	1,678$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.46	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Mavericks	17c	1,533$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.5	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks	45c	1,219$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.85	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bucks	52c	1,120$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$537.6	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6557…0999backed Mavericks	48c	1,120$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.6	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa05…a764backed Mavericks	18c	1,063$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.31	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba30…3e55backed Bucks	47c	980$461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Mavericks	56c	899.99$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.99	657	62.3%409 W · 248 L	+27.9wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2662…1761backed Bucks	48c	805$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$418.6	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.52per pick	48cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Mavericks	27c	768.99$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.84	181	40.3%73 W · 108 L	+24.4wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks	45c	718.78$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.14	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Mavericks	47c	634.95$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Bucks	41c	568.22$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.98	228	36.4%83 W · 145 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Mavericks	21c	522.58$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.27	553	16.5%91 W · 462 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Mavericks	45c	444.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f9a…31e0backed Mavericks	30c	432.03$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.43	6	50%3 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ac6…b2d5backed Mavericks	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe598…4677backed Mavericks	37c	398.33$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.84	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd74…8afebacked Bucks	43c	372.47$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.31	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d63…8b8cbacked Bucks	56c	350.61$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.57	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe157…f26bbacked Mavericks	52c	333$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.16	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Mavericks	42c	303.38$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.01	360	45%162 W · 198 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84a3…494ebacked Mavericks	53c	300$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf260…01a1backed Mavericks	53c	290$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Bucks	42c	288.15$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.15	954	52.3%499 W · 455 L	-17.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea3…d219backed Mavericks	52c	288$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks	56c	274.35$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.64	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Mavericks	58c	250.82$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.49	584	50.2%293 W · 291 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Mavericks	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	76	22.4%17 W · 59 L	+6.1wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+132.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8976…4897backed Mavericks	57c	210.82$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ec2…3987backed Mavericks	39c	208.99$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.2	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Mavericks	55c	208.18$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.5	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Mavericks	56c	197.38$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.09	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2694…d45dbacked Mavericks	52c	184$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucks	54c	174$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.04	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d3…9af1backed Bucks	72c	174$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.72	126	42.1%53 W · 73 L	-11.6wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc607…bf25backed Mavericks	38c	173.8$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.4	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Mavericks	56c	172.61$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.66	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe777…9f29backed Bucks	46c	170.87$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.63	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.28per pick	47cpaid	+56.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Mavericks	50c	167.82$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.45	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x109f…1c5bbacked Mavericks	57c	161.65$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.14	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	63cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53c5…025abacked Mavericks	38c	155.51$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.53	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+45.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Bucks	50c	133$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.33	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks	55c	131.11$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks	53c	130$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.32	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Mavericks	45c	128.89$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Mavericks	65c	120.96$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.49	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa55f…ce65backed Mavericks	47c	117$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.99	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-37%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Mavericks	59c	116.95$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.31	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-7.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Mavericks	32c	116.93$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.58	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Bucks	53c	104$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Bucks	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x922e…7d04backed Bucks	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	77	46.8%36 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0893…c760backed Mavericks	45c	101$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.63	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Mavericks	60c	100.74$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.18	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeca…8c27backed Mavericks	50c	100.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.11	301	32.6%98 W · 203 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67b4…19acbacked Mavericks	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Mavericks	46c	96.36$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.33	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Mavericks	53c	94.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Bucks	50c	88$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.33	689	40.2%277 W · 412 L	-54.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd0d…7606backed Bucks	49c	80.83$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.83	98	48%47 W · 51 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Mavericks	59c	78$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.02	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks	46c	75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.71	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x481c…01fbbacked Mavericks	53c	74.82$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.65	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Mavericks	33c	72$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	97	46.4%45 W · 52 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Mavericks	45c	65$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	224	56.3%126 W · 98 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Mavericks	54c	64.18$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.66	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Mavericks	49c	61.05$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.91	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x185f…3649backed Mavericks	30c	60.85$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.47	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…d3e2backed Mavericks	50c	60.6$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	106	44.3%47 W · 59 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99ba…6391backed Mavericks	24c	59.02$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.09	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks	57c	56.19$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.96	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Bucks	47c	53.2$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.2	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6c…e9a0backed Bucks	47c	53.19$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.19	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Mavericks	54c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	382	52.4%200 W · 182 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks	48c	49.41$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.64	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2536…3a83backed Mavericks	41c	49.02$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Bucks	43c	47.66$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.03	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x7e77…4fd2backed Bucks	50c	47$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…a6eebacked Mavericks	35c	45.9$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.07	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x741b…4a79backed Mavericks	57c	45.04$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.62	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Bucks	49c	44.46$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.49	493	51.7%255 W · 238 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Bucks	66c	43$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.73	123	31.7%39 W · 84 L	-17.0wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Bucks	50c	42.94$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.47	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Mavericks	60c	41.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	133	46.6%62 W · 71 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Mavericks	46c	40.87$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	397	36.3%144 W · 253 L	-27.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Bucks	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	195	43.1%84 W · 111 L	-12.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Bucks (-1.5)this page
AJ Green: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Bobby Portis: Points O/U 16.5No won
Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5No won
Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Mavericks vs. BucksBucks won
Mavericks vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
Mavericks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5Over won
Max Christie: Points O/U 16.5No won
Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Bucks won
Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Bucks (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event