TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,666
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,666 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over50c14,751$7,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,375.3415545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under50c9,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50066250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under50c4,810$2,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,403.1758347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c3,283$1,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.51,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under23c2,640$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.6179650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under52c2,458$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.2362347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Under53c1,800$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9545658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Under50c1,736$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86814346.2%66 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c1,607$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.232,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under50c1,293$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.561,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed Under49c1,230$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.455240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Over50c1,144$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.489556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd622…8b56backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c682.7$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2849…0cd8backed Under50c669.54$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3322281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c584.62$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.69,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under24c579.58$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9641052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c500.5$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.755,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c492.7$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.351,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over60c400.52$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8722836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Under53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21247043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over49c389$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.392,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under20c366.32$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.061,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over62c349.93$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.872,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under38c347.77$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9737755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over80c311.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.431151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under27c309.49$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.531,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Over47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15916539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Under49c274$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3612645.2%57 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over52c232.04$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3865750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over68c210.56$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3162047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c203.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.823,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…8cfbbacked Over66c201.53$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4114243%61 W · 81 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c36…36a0backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under16c190.52$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f08…57bcbacked Under35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under51c168.93$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.961,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Under24c166.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.535740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c163.13$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.174,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aef…da41backed Under35c160$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Under31c150.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5416242.6%69 W · 93 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Over47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.516549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c145.22$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.924,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc607…bf25backed Under48c134.75$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.231442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481c…01fbbacked Under47c128.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.29933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa05…a764backed Under38c121.29$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.57825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Over45c109.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6038253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under49c107.14$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6434247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x82d9…a600backed Under50c102.08$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.961855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0455533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b4…168fbacked Under19c100.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.323158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0da…7379backed Over50c98.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.741050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0101…3728backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over72c98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4496956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under29c95.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.631,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under29c89.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.021,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under67c87.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.639137.4%34 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dab…029dbacked Under29c82.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.816435.9%23 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over62c81.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.081,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4042551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4178backed Under20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+51.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4041354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under22c79.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8965630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Under50c76.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0328536.8%105 W · 180 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under22c76.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4152230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under30c74.37$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.163,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over65c68$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.837253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Over51c66.79$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.435839.7%23 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over47c66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7968940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2dcc…45f6backed Under22c64.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Under49c60.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308433.3%28 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c55.42$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under27c51.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6418140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4f05…3dfcbacked Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.55754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…b82abacked Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55648.2%27 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b96…7701backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.55343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6313…a6bdbacked Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Under50c49.01$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5117949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Under55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516555.2%91 W · 74 L-12.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Under48c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Over52c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Under52c44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8810842.6%46 W · 62 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under40c43.53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4141038%156 W · 254 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under43c42.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9914860.1%89 W · 59 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef40…b116backed Over58c39.42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.566437.5%24 W · 40 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x98df…41b7backed Over47c36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192650%13 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9111848.3%57 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1526757.3%153 W · 114 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6af…532dbacked Over55c26.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.968362.7%52 W · 31 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Over49c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2435049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ac3…2651backed Over68c22.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aff…c55ebacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105939%23 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x862d…2632backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe037…8a91backed Under62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.46947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Over51c19.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6652246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.