NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x839069ef40697821f888b0615777ce651b8dbe6b73cef29e3a2906dedca132ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over | 50c | 14,751$7,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,375.34 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 50c | 4,810$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.17 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 3,283$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.5 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 23c | 2,640$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.61 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 52c | 2,458$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.23 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Under | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 50c | 1,736$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 1,607$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.23 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 1,293$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.56 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Under | 49c | 1,230$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.45 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 50c | 1,144$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.48 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 682.7$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…0cd8backed Under | 50c | 669.54$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 584.62$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 24c | 579.58$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.96 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 500.5$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 492.7$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.35 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 60c | 400.52$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.87 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 389$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.39 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 20c | 366.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 62c | 349.93$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.87 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 38c | 347.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.97 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Over | 80c | 311.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 27c | 309.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Under | 49c | 274$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.36 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 52c | 232.04$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.38 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 68c | 210.56$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 203.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 66c | 201.53$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.41 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c36…36a0backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Under | 16c | 190.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Under | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 168.93$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Under | 24c | 166.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 49c | 163.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…da41backed Under | 35c | 160$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 31c | 150.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 52c | 145.22$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.92 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…bf25backed Under | 48c | 134.75$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481c…01fbbacked Under | 47c | 128.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…a764backed Under | 38c | 121.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 45c | 109.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 49c | 107.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed Under | 50c | 102.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b4…168fbacked Under | 19c | 100.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…d31abacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0da…7379backed Over | 50c | 98.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0101…3728backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 72c | 98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 29c | 95.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 29c | 89.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Under | 67c | 87.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dab…029dbacked Under | 29c | 82.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 62c | 81.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…4178backed Under | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 22c | 79.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 50c | 76.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 22c | 76.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 30c | 74.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 65c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Over | 51c | 66.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 47c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.79 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Under | 22c | 64.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Under | 49c | 60.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 55.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under | 27c | 51.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +24.4wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…3dfcbacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…b82abacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b96…7701backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6313…a6bdbacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 50c | 49.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 48c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Under | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 40c | 43.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 410 | 38%156 W · 254 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 43c | 42.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Over | 58c | 39.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Over | 47c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Over | 55c | 26.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac3…2651backed Over | 68c | 22.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…2632backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe037…8a91backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 51c | 19.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5this page
- AJ Green: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Bobby Portis: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Brandon Williams: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Cooper Flagg: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Kyle Kuzma: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. BucksBucks won
- Mavericks vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineBucks won
- Mavericks vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 219.5Over won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Ryan Rollins: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.