South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0bf9239b5f1c19b2a75e79ba98fa214d90f13793dfbda1e7ec93d2305b256483
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 7,639$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,587.78 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 69c | 3,339$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 64c | 1,565$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.59 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 42c | 1,401$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.38 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Under | 52c | 1,106$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 999.45$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.78 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 921.26$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 43c | 785.2$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.6 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 748.38$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.56 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 69c | 450$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8129…5f30backed Over | 63c | 421.49$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Under | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc89…e4d0backed Over | 68c | 337.82$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…ce0abacked Over | 55c | 333.61$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 333$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.3 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 77c | 280$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0d…53a5backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 62c | 203.92$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a6…57c9backed Over | 66c | 159.09$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 31c | 147.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 52c | 125.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.29 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 31c | 89.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 67c | 83.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 68c | 79.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0f…9c67backed Over | 75c | 77.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…9b98backed Over | 67c | 77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 76.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe579…ba5ebacked Over | 68c | 75.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 69.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 33c | 69.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d3…0d2abacked Over | 62c | 61.11$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…c0c2backed Over | 67c | 59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d2…b34bbacked Under | 33c | 50.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…6dd5backed Under | 33c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 63c | 49.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…68c1backed Over | 67c | 46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Under | 35c | 44.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…a6ebbacked Over | 67c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 64c | 40.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 55c | 39.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 32c | 38.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 30c | 38.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Over | 70c | 38.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee70…7e8abacked Under | 36c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 60c | 33.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…c888backed Under | 33c | 33.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…3ed4backed Under | 30c | 33.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 24cpaid | +203%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 40c | 30.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…af80backed Over | 68c | 30.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 59c | 29.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -8.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 74c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 47c | 21.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked Over | 76c | 19.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 68c | 18.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Over | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.