South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8adbdd94509ffa2b14f5ed9b855433a642eee4f6a132051867fa0c33f4738d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,057
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 2,851$1,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.71 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 30c | 1,250$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.09 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 1,031$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 49c | 740.3$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.08 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 35c | 736.86$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.15 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 63c | 534.77$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.77 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 522.86$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.91 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb06…9959backed Over | 40c | 441.26$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Over | 37c | 439.38$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.57 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 65c | 417.89$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.89 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 19c | 350$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 45c | 270.05$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 51c | 257$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 39c | 256.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 57c | 232.56$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 35c | 222.11$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Under | 62c | 206.32$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 49c | 171.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…7b2bbacked Under | 53c | 166.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 45c | 135$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 41c | 110.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 51c | 67.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Over | 40c | 65.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 38c | 64.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 51c | 59.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 60c | 58.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…fba6backed Over | 46c | 57.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 59c | 56.66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 40c | 50.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 44.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 39c | 31.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 49c | 30.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.