South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b3116f1c8dde3d8c92604f5970f8bb3bd30b0513d4db4f80981a6f5aa461ef4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,759
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 1,085$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.85 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.5 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 707.49$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e96…d509backed No | 52c | 571.69$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 48c | 478.41$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.63 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 70c | 286.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 60c | 251.89$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 51c | 196.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 49c | 155.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 12c | 118.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.71 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 50c | 100.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb371…5faebacked Yes | 70c | 54.49$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Yes | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 59c | 35.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 61c | 33.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ad…da4cbacked Yes | 53c | 28.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6c…2bf7backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Paranaense vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.