NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f8808c5c2d74937494153f6626a15a5c6563b39bca827331f130d8aad3128aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Oilers, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $408,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $412,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Oilers | 61c | 80,000$48,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,798.52 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sharks | 39c | 69,226$27,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,142.98 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Sharks | 41c | 49,962$20,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,477.39 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Oilers | 59c | 26,415$15,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,584.86 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Sharks | 69c | 23,281$16,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,142.32 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Sharks | 43c | 23,258$10,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,257.11 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sharks | 39c | 15,776$6,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,623.1 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Oilers | 59c | 11,111$6,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,555.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +95%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sharks | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.95 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Oilers | 60c | 9,866$5,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,919.43 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Oilers | 59c | 8,228$4,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,854.42 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Oilers | 59c | 6,600$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,893.99 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Oilers | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Oilers | 27c | 5,087$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.49 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…5a1bbacked Oilers | 60c | 5,021$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Oilers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Oilers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.97 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Sharks | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.93 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.83 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed Oilers | 36c | 4,940$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Sharks | 40c | 4,649$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,789.4 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Oilers | 60c | 4,509$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.43 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 59c | 4,262$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.59 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Oilers | 59c | 4,052$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.05 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Sharks | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.95 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Oilers | 58c | 3,899$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.32 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Oilers | 60c | 3,888$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Sharks | 75c | 3,815$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.71 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x648a…b4a6backed Sharks | 41c | 3,744$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sharks | 61c | 3,625$2,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.65 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Sharks | 42c | 3,613$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.46 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sharks | 49c | 3,492$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.81 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Oilers | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.99 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharks | 40c | 2,930$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.88 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Sharks | 42c | 2,707$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.16 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…5c34backed Oilers | 31c | 2,669$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Oilers | 43c | 2,566$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.92 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Sharks | 40c | 2,521$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.51 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Oilers | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Sharks | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.97 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Sharks | 74c | 2,400$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.99 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…b0cfbacked Oilers | 21c | 2,355$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…85b5backed Sharks | 61c | 2,348$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.96 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +52%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Oilers | 32c | 2,290$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.91 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sharks | 40c | 2,222$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.16 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Oilers | 35c | 2,203$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.27 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…4b4abacked Oilers | 59c | 2,170$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…5a02backed Oilers | 21c | 2,010$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…b0dcbacked Oilers | 58c | 1,943$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.93 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Oilers | 35c | 1,912$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.36 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Oilers | 25c | 1,901$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.56 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Oilers | 30c | 1,694$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.51 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Oilers | 32c | 1,690$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.76 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Oilers | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sharks | 64c | 1,623$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.95 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sharks | 40c | 1,611$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.45 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Oilers | 35c | 1,589$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfc…a2cbbacked Oilers | 59c | 1,576$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Oilers | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sharks | 73c | 1,268$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.92 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Oilers | 60c | 1,267$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Sharks | 41c | 1,265$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.35 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Oilers | 60c | 1,170$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Sharks | 69c | 1,151$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Oilers | 61c | 1,127$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.76 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…3a71backed Oilers | 60c | 1,061$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Oilers | 49c | 1,028$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Sharks | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Oilers | 59c | 999.56$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…7af7backed Oilers | 60c | 970.02$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.01 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oilers | 26c | 969.97$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.19 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Oilers | 56c | 944.49$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Oilers | 59c | 927.3$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.11 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sharks | 66c | 926.82$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.09 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Oilers | 57c | 915.22$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Oilers | 51c | 909.65$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.05 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Oilers | 60c | 870.72$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.5 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…fb53backed Oilers | 59c | 850$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Oilers | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Oilers | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Oilers | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Sharks | 41c | 830$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.7 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…9b1abacked Sharks | 42c | 820$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Oilers | 32c | 814.06$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Sharks | 40c | 808.92$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.37 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2c…e9a0backed Oilers | 30c | 785.3$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Oilers | 26c | 768.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ee…de41backed Sharks | 42c | 750$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…111abacked Oilers | 61c | 728.94$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…f800backed Oilers | 59c | 720$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Sharks | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Oilers | 44c | 685.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sharks | 69c | 662.48$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.35 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sharks | 41c | 644.22$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.09 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Oilers | 60c | 625$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Oilers | 63c | 612.79$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.12 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +14.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Sharks | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.76 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…dcc8backed Oilers | 60c | 608.12$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Sharks | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Oilers | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Sharksthis page
- Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.