TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$421,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$486,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7853…19b8backed Yes40c82,800$32,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,011.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf4…73afbacked No36c34,500$12,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,55810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab53…df58backed No36c34,500$12,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,28210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd200…e5f2backed No60c29,500$17,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,818250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf52…d0b5backed No60c27,000$16,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,30810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6bb…9187backed No60c26,300$15,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,885.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3a…e898backed Yes64c17,700$11,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,442.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…4832backed Yes64c16,800$10,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,115.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e14…b4b8backed Yes64c16,800$10,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,980.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe369…a884backed No26c9,430$2,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,480.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x956d…7999backed Yes64c9,200$5,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,275.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0013…83bebacked Yes64c8,500$5,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed No66c5,537$3,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,673.681361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6138…97a0backed Yes62c5,000$3,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,888.125339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No42c4,333$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.3715233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd2…1e85backed No46c4,231$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,960.442623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes40c4,042$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,425.774434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed Yes47c3,861$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.497447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes34c3,775$1,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.852941.4%12 W · 17 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+9.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc34a…e198backed Yes74c3,300$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b3…12c7backed Yes74c3,150$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73ee…5748backed Yes74c2,980$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbc…e4edbacked No60c2,907$1,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,730.36812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Yes65c2,837$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.5342862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No54c2,767$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49410426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3d…498abacked Yes33c2,753$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,842.943630.6%11 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes26c2,403$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.446939.1%27 W · 42 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed No39c2,296$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d3…55b0backed Yes49c2,037$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed No30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x877f…7acbbacked Yes71c2,000$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.991233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes36c1,931$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.621050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes44c1,910$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.835349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes59c1,700$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.773444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick28cpaid+77.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d5b…7744backed Yes73c1,502$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.02683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+59.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes33c1,500$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.56540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c29…a12fbacked No28c1,444$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No11c1,360$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.062037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9e…b594backed No39c1,310$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.561428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-53.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4cf…3e8cbacked Yes39c1,271$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.351656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+41.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed No38c1,252$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.4212324.4%30 W · 93 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-28.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed No59c1,154$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.551154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x600b…c7e0backed Yes36c1,096$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.51560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked No32c1,084$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.7620425%51 W · 153 L+0.4wins0.00per pick25cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x294d…b362backed Yes66c1,056$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.51771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes53c1,020$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.74837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-34.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes54c807.12$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.831861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4efb…f5fbbacked No42c796.57$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.15425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed4…ac30backed No40c742$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-57.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…1351backed No38c721.3$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.54944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed No36c683.93$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.456440.6%26 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa82c…dd71backed Yes64c646.8$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes41c634.53$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.2616232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x91e7…8c47backed No41c599.75$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.72520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes80c595.83$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.175653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94df…2dcebacked Yes64c568.34$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.73683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick63cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed No32c564.92$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce31…19c4backed No42c556.73$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.76450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+178.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No53c553.47$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.662941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb291…cdcabacked Yes58c550$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Yes63c543.93$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.691216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-58.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No40c536.41$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.413844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No39c519.99$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8126247.7%125 W · 137 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes59c516.17$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.4125329.2%74 W · 179 L+11.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No30c509.16$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.255160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f52…0b99backed No40c501.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed No6c500$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes5c500$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47532222.4%72 W · 250 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes26c500$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3701540%6 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed No50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…5ac3backed Yes50c485.6$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.82240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked No12c481.62$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.23757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+59.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked No42c476.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006428.1%18 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b6…2f9fbacked No65c470.85$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1a…4221backed Yes46c464$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.35633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1020…366cbacked No38c462.95$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda82…eb29backed No65c459.99$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No53c400.89$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4667042.2%283 W · 387 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3096…b204backed No27c387.95$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe799…d2bcbacked No60c361.19$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4de7…1982backed Yes38c359.39$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb671…8349backed No49c358.44$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.32728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-44.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fa9…5c8ebacked No28c354.65$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.711827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6335…ca2bbacked Yes68c345.11$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed No59c338.28$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1998949.4%44 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Yes59c335.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.057356.2%41 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No24c332.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.364712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cee…8592backed No43c331.59$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.182642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9752…8087backed No71c331.17$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Yes64c313.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.571250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No69c301.68$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.817847.4%37 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked No48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.883345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed No45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351540%6 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81fa…c4d6backed No27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818542.4%36 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf779…d36fbacked No32c299.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.31910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No61c290.78$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.295856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f86…4fa9backed No70c285.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a2…95e0backed No35c281$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd739…25b1backed Yes42c273$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.39933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.