Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97e99d90e138afd09c6342812b0520113324dd3cea43e4234a708f5bcb987910
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,219
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,219 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 19c | 3,600$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.3 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Yes | 9c | 3,411$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 22c | 1,333$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.93 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 77c | 956.22$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.62 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…962dbacked Yes | 21c | 949.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 829.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 24c | 446$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 4c | 433$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 78c | 426.7$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 73c | 422.46$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80fe…290cbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -11.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Yes | 23c | 321$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…6c81backed Yes | 14c | 250$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b9…fb44backed Yes | 13c | 231.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4859…0bb1backed Yes | 9c | 222.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 72c | 186.77$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc6…411fbacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…b859backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 22c | 111$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84e9…2285backed No | 78c | 105$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…318abacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14e…7e5fbacked Yes | 20c | 99.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb674…b925backed Yes | 27c | 73.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb982…aef7backed Yes | 27c | 72.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…9c8ebacked Yes | 28c | 64.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995c…8770backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…58b3backed Yes | 27c | 45.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 71c | 20.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +145.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed No | 71c | 19.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?this page
- Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Bournemouth finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Brentford finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Burnley finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Everton finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Newcastle finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Sunderland finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will West Ham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.