Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cbfc3f07e0ff4104a48d6f2af4f4648cbf7af085c481abc0634be37bfc05187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 9c | 6,815$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.08 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 12c | 4,672$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.63 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 4,200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 4,075$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed No | 3c | 3,667$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.44 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 33c | 3,047$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.95 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed No | 1c | 3,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed No | 2c | 2,688$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5d…a4b9backed No | 1c | 2,684$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 1c | 2,118$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 67c | 1,862$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…fae0backed Yes | 68c | 1,733$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 1c | 1,387$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb8…c8e1backed Yes | 77c | 1,020$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed No | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768a…d603backed No | 20c | 849.83$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 2c | 762.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 23c | 706.35$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.17 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1585…7574backed No | 14c | 628.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd8…a542backed No | 13c | 598.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3838…a789backed No | 3c | 559.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…bedebacked No | 15c | 507.14$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccf…128dbacked No | 3c | 421.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…c3b0backed No | 3c | 396.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b80…3f91backed No | 4c | 328.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 19c | 285$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.93 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 8c | 279.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 5c | 262.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 69c | 155$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe097…d399backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ce…d437backed Yes | 80c | 62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +220%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…49b9backed Yes | 67c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +132.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 65c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…72adbacked Yes | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?this page
- Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Bournemouth finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Brentford finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Burnley finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Everton finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes won
- Will Newcastle finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Sunderland finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
- Will West Ham finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.