TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91e7…8c47

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.24
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,100
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$813.51
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$338
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$460.22
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$438
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$255.74
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$212.19
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$140.54
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$147.76
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,981Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+32%+$633.22
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$752.38
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$380
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$733.09
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$803Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$803
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Japan to score first vs. Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$32.02
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$214.29
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Cristiano Ronaldo: 3+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$103.75
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$116.67
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+84.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$60.76
Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+138.3%+$692.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.97
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.2%+$249.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$11.04
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$378
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$204
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.