TailMyPicks
Market

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,723 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b75…433bbacked Over46c5,465$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,964.886550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under50c3,092$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.357839.3%227 W · 351 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under79c2,532$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006858.8%40 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c2,424$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.613,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over49c2,235$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.274639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over21c1,854$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.011,52938.5%588 W · 941 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under54c1,540$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.6914146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c1,461$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.5484144.8%377 W · 464 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under46c1,369$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.0320743%89 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under39c1,029$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd19…3fb8backed Under10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd1…7918backed Under70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over46c956.53$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.531040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over49c925.07$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.349466%62 W · 32 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4567750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over43c799.99$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.991631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over25c784$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58817128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under64c778.26$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.95742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under47c710.06$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.61540%6 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+78.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over76c704.06$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.5615236.2%55 W · 97 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Over73c683.05$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0511159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over60c662.05$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9722859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over59c639.38$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.384540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a47…3b21backed Over44c632$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.922763%17 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under65c615.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023252.6%122 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Over76c590.07$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3525872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under67c582.09$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39011457.9%66 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under12c542.5$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5684939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over14c539.86$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.865646.4%26 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under51c538.42$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.7160147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb82…0675backed Over43c534.82$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Under39c495.53$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.3511336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Under10c492.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.232913.8%4 W · 25 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under56c478.08$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.7641239.1%161 W · 251 L-11.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under40c447.6$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.041776.5%13 W · 4 L+5.7wins+0.33per pick43cpaid+89.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over49c427.55$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9261032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under57c423.26$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.2670050.6%354 W · 346 L+2.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c396.96$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.31,66243.7%727 W · 935 L-23.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under65c390.98$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd30f…eea0backed Under8c381.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under54c365.99$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.641172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under14c357.49$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6522653.5%121 W · 105 L+18.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under54c350$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1895050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under57c342.95$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.137949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over30c325.97$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.579823.5%23 W · 75 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf80f…34a9backed Under37c325.68$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+61.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c298.79$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.914,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Over46c293.56$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.071050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over28c292.15$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.763151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Under38c263.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over45c257.07$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.523534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over12c256$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22528138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under56c242.65$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.888445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Over40c232$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under47c225.31$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.88944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57df…daa9backed Over46c220.89$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over43c218.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.831942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over46c215.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.611258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over58c207$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.96350.8%32 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over44c204.92$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under56c196.53$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.145949.7%228 W · 231 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under20c189.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.86419.8%4 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-52.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bfe…9be0backed Over58c189.66$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49fa…6eebbacked Under55c181.74$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.86742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8266…e882backed Over46c175.93$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.05475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+68.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under30c166.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over60c160.64$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.616348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under55c150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.55440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over40c139.15$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.641478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb96…bdf0backed Over45c137.07$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.39933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under52c134.22$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1413251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3c…4b61backed Over46c133$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over43c131.4$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3959855.5%332 W · 266 L+32.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc709…809dbacked Over46c130.2$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.311963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Over69c121.87$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.441315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-74.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under30c111.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0346040.9%188 W · 272 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Over39c105.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5615344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610752.3%56 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7efd…caedbacked Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.777131%22 W · 49 L-11.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Over43c95.35$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.351747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Under56c92.59$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.853450%17 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8949228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe39…10adbacked Under54c84.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under59c83.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.024443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91e7…8c47backed Under67c75.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x378c…0f2dbacked Under38c75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over24c74.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7623250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over14c72.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.245119.6%10 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Over43c70.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0613062.3%81 W · 49 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under55c70$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.511449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcac6…bdf8backed Under58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.187554.7%41 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x819b…6a57backed Over40c67.15$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.39785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick63cpaid+42.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73f6…e559backed Under75c65.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.07450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over35c62.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1819865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3318653.8%100 W · 86 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Over25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick45cpaid+105.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.