La Liga · resolved market
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb9396cc7114f054c55d6c2806a7e07b2bf022bc637589b5ee1ec706e701ef8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valencia CFof FC Barcelona, Valencia CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Barcelona | 26c | 7,407$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.8 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valencia CF | 76c | 4,966$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.53 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Valencia CF | 73c | 2,138$1,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.33 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed FC Barcelona | 27c | 1,879$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.35 | 198 | 40.4%80 W · 118 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Valencia CF | 73c | 1,495$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.03 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Valencia CF | 73c | 1,240$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.2 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Valencia CF | 76c | 653$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.65 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Valencia CF | 73c | 638.82$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.94 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Barcelona | 17c | 605.64$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…7e9abacked FC Barcelona | 28c | 521.82$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed FC Barcelona | 28c | 497.39$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.26 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked FC Barcelona | 14c | 375$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…c2aebacked FC Barcelona | 16c | 370.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…2758backed FC Barcelona | 31c | 308.87$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Valencia CF | 69c | 279$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Valencia CF | 73c | 243$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC Barcelona | 9c | 241.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Valencia CF | 73c | 239.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…ea4fbacked FC Barcelona | 19c | 218.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked FC Barcelona | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdada…4e86backed FC Barcelona | 28c | 190.54$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked FC Barcelona | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…0689backed FC Barcelona | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked FC Barcelona | 13c | 152.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9f…2a51backed Valencia CF | 74c | 135.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Valencia CF | 73c | 127.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked FC Barcelona | 16c | 124.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed FC Barcelona | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Valencia CF | 73c | 112.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed FC Barcelona | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked FC Barcelona | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Valencia CF | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed FC Barcelona | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed FC Barcelona | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Valencia CF | 73c | 98.63$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…9c01backed FC Barcelona | 28c | 92.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…e3c9backed FC Barcelona | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Valencia CF | 76c | 91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Valencia CF | 72c | 85.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4009…f2b4backed FC Barcelona | 24c | 85.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed FC Barcelona | 28c | 82.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed FC Barcelona | 29c | 68.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Valencia CF | 72c | 61.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…0fe6backed FC Barcelona | 28c | 61.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Valencia CF | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Valencia CF | 80c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Valencia CF | 75c | 49.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Valencia CF | 73c | 47.24$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked FC Barcelona | 27c | 45.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Valencia CF | 70c | 33.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed FC Barcelona | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Valencia CF | 78c | 21.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Valencia CF | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Valencia CF | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628b…6861backed Valencia CF | 73c | 15.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Valencia CF | 77c | 15.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Valencia CF | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)this page
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.