La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa92e6d79b876fa547c10a33fadfa0cf71ea070bb0754bb4ee1b3f352fea23ef1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 35c | 6,180$2,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,163 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 65c | 5,117$3,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.94 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 65c | 846.15$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.15 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 34c | 824.73$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.75 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes | 65c | 808$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.8 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 49c | 508$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.84 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 35c | 472.57$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 434.39$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.2 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 47c | 420.21$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.88 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 14c | 394.41$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 51c | 348.63$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.19 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 35c | 346.67$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.33 | 644 | 57%367 W · 277 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 66c | 336.36$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.36 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 50c | 260.16$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.16 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked No | 50c | 245.35$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 66c | 244.38$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 52c | 238$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed No | 49c | 203.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 51c | 200$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 66c | 163.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 35c | 125.12$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 67c | 121.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x8221…2217backed Yes | 68c | 102.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed No | 35c | 99.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 54c | 91.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Yes | 67c | 89.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 67c | 86.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 67c | 86.72$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 66c | 82.79$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 65c | 80.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…4f34backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +11.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 48c | 74.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 60c | 74.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 27c | 73.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed No | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 35c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 40c | 67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed No | 43c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…aa42backed No | 52c | 56.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…3fa2backed No | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 34c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed Yes | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 33c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…a77fbacked Yes | 65c | 45.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…1a5bbacked Yes | 66c | 42.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…6e99backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 35c | 35.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 65c | 33.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…94f5backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed No | 73c | 27.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 67c | 25.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 66c | 20.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…d6f5backed Yes | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be3…ca18backed Yes | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed No | 65c | 17.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.