TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,248 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Under33c5,727$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.3257139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over65c5,044$3,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.533,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c1,951$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.5983444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under35c1,900$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6656756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under65c1,311$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.8120142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Under42c987.5$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under32c920.14$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under14c895.92$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3110127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over68c726.31$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23249057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over29c682.22$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.225343.4%23 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over30c680$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.154235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under57c614.39$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over44c565.58$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.215149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Over58c542.22$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.733551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under71c504.68$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.322944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over68c499.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under57c474.78$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.2492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over43c372.28$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.911,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over64c365.01$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6341751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over64c342.5$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.761478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under58c338.06$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.5440239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over52c300$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.711336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.052142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under51c292.54$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.025853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Over75c270$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4311159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Over55c259.39$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.41742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under33c250.04$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8266…e882backed Over52c239.67$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.27475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+68.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c215.85$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.414,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1226350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under33c195.12$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5416348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over65c192.29$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.32,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a4a…044ebacked Over61c180.33$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4114028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over65c163.51$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2368450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.856061.7%37 W · 23 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Under35c151.43$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Over66c151.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.17865.4%51 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over67c149$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.933447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over44c141.22$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.453748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Over68c140$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.889641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9522…7af0backed Under36c140$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.42857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over67c138.73$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7842458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Under74c135.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002085%17 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under33c133.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.0111336.3%41 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over49c129.16$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.111361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e45…efefbacked Over66c121.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.451978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Under55c120.8$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over26c120$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.34843.8%21 W · 27 L+6.6wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+42.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over39c105.51$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.3622859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under34c105$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.78445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over66c103.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0740357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over44c102.73$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0659655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdde4…7bfdbacked Under41c102.44$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4910049%49 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3410752.3%56 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520945%94 W · 115 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under39c92.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1683939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over33c90$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1537348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over39c85$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.951861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Over27c85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.655448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under57c84.54$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8860832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde28…8d20backed Over49c81.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.071241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under52c81.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1321139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under62c77.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6445841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e0b…f166backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+77.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x492f…bc51backed Over65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.923568.6%24 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under48c68.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over41c63.97$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.596459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under67c62$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7815036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9660…ba56backed Over65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcac6…bdf8backed Under36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over31c55.16$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.162445.8%11 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+54%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over50c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.510554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Over66c54.08$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.391662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2c…d911backed Under21c54.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6c…0319backed Over47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.193036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under66c53.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…fdb6backed Under32c50.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.834645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Under69c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.54146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over65c49.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.522448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over31c48.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7122729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Under34c46.41$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.785119.6%10 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Over44c45.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.42785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick45cpaid+105.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0501…61ecbacked Over45c45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.752937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over67c43.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5644039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4822157%126 W · 95 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under55c41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5513251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.71770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under54c37.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2822553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over43c34.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.463151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under47c33.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.754443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6769…f8b9backed Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.776453.1%34 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e4…4d8cbacked Over65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under33c30.49$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.062540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.