TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Valencia CFof Valencia CF, FC Barcelona
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,085 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Valencia CF12c1,520$181 inWon+$1,339.194,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Valencia CF12c1,030$124 inWon+$906.2499933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Valencia CF12c757.95$91 inWon+$66718046.7%84 W · 96 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Valencia CF12c588.58$69 inWon+$519.111,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Valencia CF12c566.01$68 inWon+$498.0948153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Valencia CF10c330$33 inWon+$297.3911336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Valencia CF23c126.94$29 inWon+$98.247265.3%47 W · 25 L+7.1wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Valencia CF10c122.07$12 inWon+$109.973,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…8586backed FC Barcelona14c119.64$17 inLost-$16.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Valencia CF79c102.39$81 inWon+$21.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+53.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Valencia CF10c100$10 inWon+$9022729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe977…700fbacked FC Barcelona27c51.27$14 inLost-$1480%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked FC Barcelona80c47$37 inLost-$37.4921139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked FC Barcelona62c34.76$22 inLost-$21.528138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked FC Barcelona68c20$14 inLost-$13.5737348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.