La Liga · resolved market
Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25c685298aeaf9dca8a5db9c349c833d7ee97bb08d5f0977de5ff1712c7d9a11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 50c | 2,999$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.71 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 2,581$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.22 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 16c | 2,188$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 2,032$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.85 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 1,734$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.44 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Over | 76c | 986.17$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 27c | 932.82$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.46 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 864.5$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.77 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 36c | 690.78$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.74 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Under | 13c | 580.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 74c | 574.11$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.01 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 44c | 450.8$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.8 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2452…4571backed Over | 58c | 426.32$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Over | 78c | 384.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…3d1abacked Over | 57c | 352$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 297.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under | 14c | 282$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 80c | 259.2$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 25c | 220.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Over | 71c | 192.02$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 61c | 190.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 43c | 173.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.11 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over | 58c | 173.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 155$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c8…6eccbacked Over | 73c | 145.21$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 58c | 140$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 46c | 120.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…9be0backed Over | 72c | 117.91$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked Under | 15c | 106.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 48c | 103.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 21c | 98.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 73c | 96.46$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac6…bdf8backed Under | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 22c | 92.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Under | 16c | 91.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 91.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed Over | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 67c | 89.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 72c | 88.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 56c | 81.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 40c | 80.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 56c | 79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 60c | 77.84$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…38fcbacked Over | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…2bbdbacked Over | 65c | 72.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…e559backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 71c | 55.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 163 | 48.5%79 W · 84 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 63c | 51.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 59c | 49.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 61c | 44.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 74c | 43.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 67c | 40.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…91aabacked Over | 54c | 36.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 73c | 32.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 59c | 32.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 41c | 32.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…83f5backed Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 48 | 77.1%37 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dd…c4c9backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 55c | 29.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202e…65babacked Over | 77c | 25.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Over | 57c | 20.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 60c | 20.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 73c | 19.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)Valencia CF won
- Spread: Valencia CF (-1.5)Valencia CF won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 0.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5Over won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.