Fifa International · resolved market
Japan to score first vs. Sweden?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5c9974dbb63f96695a3c7dc788db982fda53a87e0a65dc6b4bb6e78c3f7e25c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 46c | 3,634$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.61 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 49c | 1,985$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.75 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5d…0c35backed Yes | 53c | 1,886$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.16 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,737$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.99 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 19c | 1,409$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.09 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 44c | 1,274$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.33 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 43c | 1,095$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.02 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,015$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.5 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 46c | 966.88$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.48 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 47c | 805.64$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.65 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 74c | 620.9$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 45c | 606.01$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.03 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2a…7b2fbacked No | 19c | 605$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 112 | 16.1%18 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Yes | 53c | 581.82$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.82 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd09d…b15dbacked Yes | 52c | 577.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.02 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b1…e789backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +14.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 53c | 524.46$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.44 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…55f5backed No | 8c | 520.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 99 | 12.1%12 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 45c | 443.8$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.65 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 45c | 437.58$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.48 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 42c | 375.65$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.77 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 53c | 370.45$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.11 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 39c | 362.55$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 62c | 245.49$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 20c | 238.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 48c | 221.71$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.26 | 176 | 29%51 W · 125 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 32c | 221$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 67c | 211$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…5c13backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…b7d0backed Yes | 59c | 185.67$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 54c | 176.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb916…f248backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a4…6ed6backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…bbe3backed Yes | 46c | 162.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 43c | 156.1$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…daa8backed Yes | 54c | 128.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 124.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 46c | 107.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 43c | 104.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 41c | 103.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc59…df13backed Yes | 49c | 102$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 48c | 100.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3b…38dbbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 212 | 53.3%113 W · 99 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…2723backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bed…85b8backed Yes | 53c | 95.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.05 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…1d2fbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6a…e09bbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…699abacked Yes | 53c | 91.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 42c | 89.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 253 | 52.6%133 W · 120 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…1d84backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…1e21backed Yes | 60c | 83.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…db37backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31c…e5a1backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…46d2backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866e…a949backed Yes | 50c | 79.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88f…686bbacked Yes | 51c | 76.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x623b…b1f8backed Yes | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…8c47backed Yes | 53c | 68.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 50c | 60.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…aa46backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…6e47backed Yes | 45c | 56.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.09 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1824…8854backed Yes | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1833…cc31backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -12.3wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 51c | 44.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…87f4backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 151 | 38.4%58 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Yes | 47c | 41.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…44e1backed Yes | 60c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 171 | 57.9%99 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7f…f464backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffab…78babacked Yes | 49c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc845…13b2backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd916…526fbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 42c | 33.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…3d0bbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2874…9fd7backed Yes | 47c | 31.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…4811backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 42c | 29.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 49c | 26.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 49c | 25.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…8786backed Yes | 79c | 25.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -5.6wins | -0.31per pick | 70cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 41c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 54c | 22.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 47c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 53c | 20.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8635…003ebacked No | 51c | 19.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Japan to score first vs. Sweden?this page
- Japan vs. Sweden: Neither team to score first?No won
- Sweden to score first vs. Japan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.