TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,438
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,438 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…8038backed Yes25c11,432$2,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c7,661$5,654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.064,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes22c6,088$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.7156439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes38c5,577$2,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139.1360147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes23c5,208$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.7498833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c3,078$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.93,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No77c3,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6908160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes24c2,838$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.544665.2%30 W · 16 L+8.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+52.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes42c2,113$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.6382844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c1,969$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.8492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No74c1,932$1,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.121,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No71c1,772$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.853476.5%26 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No77c1,380$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.69561.1%58 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes44c1,336$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.953956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No75c1,252$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.9721950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No64c1,215$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.8112823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes23c1,179$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.067337%27 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c1,146$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.661,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23017759.3%105 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2602138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-35.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32de…6253backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes4c999.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No73c943.51$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.4813658.1%79 W · 57 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No75c889.96$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.4739338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e0…1141backed Yes23c854.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1956…750ebacked Yes22c769.53$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.44250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+69.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No49c719.35$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.8722553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No58c712.31$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.518170.4%57 W · 24 L+10.8wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed No49c706.78$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.464245.2%19 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No69c702.41$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4458548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes22c695.65$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.87283.6%1 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick17cpaid-67.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Yes44c589.66$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No77c587.38$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.12853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No77c526.51$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4918956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes3c525.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7120043%86 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked No77c491.39$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.023100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes53c491.08$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.219953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes52c480.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507750.6%39 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes23c448.38$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.13812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-81.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes23c430.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005724.6%14 W · 43 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-27.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes19c420$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.81020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-66.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9989…89bfbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4583…6ca4backed Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f4…f3dabacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No77c404.44$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.021747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No49c402$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0219247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No76c399.98$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9619255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No76c399.97$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3963757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No77c399.97$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9917159.1%101 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes23c378.26$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes24c374.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.846926.1%18 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c336.66$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7663553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95a4…8a24backed Yes30c330.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005226.9%14 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No55c307.58$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.1316348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes27c303.45$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816048.3%29 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde35…4bc8backed Yes23c271.74$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc899…e1fdbacked No77c252.38$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.05887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick73cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes23c244.05$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No72c240.41$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2719865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No76c240$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb804…cd66backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes14c236.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.677936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…f80abacked Yes23c228.26$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.52920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf13d…afc3backed Yes44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes23c222.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2118842%79 W · 109 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No66c221$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1421139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Yes8c210.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf9…29bfbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes24c208.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…f627backed Yes24c208.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.98911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes24c208.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Yes17c208$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.747444.6%33 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No77c200$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4613644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No61c200$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0915444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa947…1859backed Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1382…7820backed Yes21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes26c182.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.381631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No74c176.39$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4441351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6a6…fec7backed No77c168.72$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.433658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No76c164.34$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4475051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes27c161.37$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.66757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes23c161.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4113243.2%57 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…6d30backed No62c159.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.911637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes20c153.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2428138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed No77c153$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.198445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Yes24c145.83$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes22c141.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.167927.8%22 W · 57 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde4d…df45backed Yes22c136.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307131%22 W · 49 L-11.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-40.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.383640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No78c125$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd4f…5aa7backed Yes34c122.59$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No77c119.99$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.626853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No72c114.05$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.416243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8367…7eaebacked Yes44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-76.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No71c110.97$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7345841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x388b…629fbacked Yes17c110.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-23.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.