NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb121ebcb297c32b286987693000bb78ad068e889bd23369e9d0b429c9c2e9c0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 52c | 41,560$21,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,949.76 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 18,441$9,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,586.16 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 47c | 16,037$7,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,459.56 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 48c | 14,985$7,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,192.8 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over | 48c | 10,082$4,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,839.6 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 48c | 5,679$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 48c | 4,973$2,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,386.87 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 54c | 4,631$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.2 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 3,719$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Over | 48c | 2,763$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.24 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6913…0616backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Under | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.72 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 48c | 1,675$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 1,402$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,015$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.75 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 840.32$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.85 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 50c | 652.17$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.53 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 548.74$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 52c | 282.79$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.74 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Over | 48c | 207.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 192$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 47c | 176.84$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 107.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 47c | 95.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 46c | 84.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Over | 50c | 84.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9973…cc32backed Under | 54c | 82.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 52c | 70.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…9b98backed Over | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…89a4backed Under | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…68c1backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe1…a6ebbacked Over | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d2…b34bbacked Under | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…e617backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 112 | 39.3%44 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…c888backed Under | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…fc12backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed Over | 50c | 49.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa30…c7abbacked Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…4123backed Over | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…c0c2backed Over | 51c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 49c | 41.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 58c | 37.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…6dd5backed Under | 49c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…75debacked Over | 49c | 28.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -57%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under | 53c | 27.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 548 | 54.2%297 W · 251 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 47c | 26.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Over | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 47c | 25.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 47c | 23.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c0…dac7backed Under | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 50c | 22.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5this page
- Aaron Nesmith: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pacers vs. WizardsWizards won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5Under won
- Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Wizards won
- T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- T.J. McConnell: Points O/U 6.5No won
- T.J. McConnell: Points O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.