NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe3861528473d21ea49d6cf35bbf926bc74d377cc5eb14a5d9cee2bbe3a72117
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,778
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,778 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4103…37bbbacked Under | 57c | 21,050$11,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,051.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…a04dbacked Over | 43c | 5,778$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…6d7dbacked Under | 57c | 5,707$3,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd75e…b6bbbacked Over | 43c | 5,059$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…8bc7backed Over | 43c | 4,229$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,818.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…9358backed Over | 43c | 4,195$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…ffd8backed Over | 43c | 3,671$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,578.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…3fbabacked Over | 43c | 3,025$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…427cbacked Over | 43c | 2,880$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf8…2451backed Under | 57c | 2,634$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1e…b7a5backed Under | 57c | 2,584$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2c…cba1backed Over | 43c | 2,543$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc826…a396backed Under | 57c | 2,372$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e3…8248backed Under | 57c | 2,333$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b4…4d60backed Under | 57c | 2,219$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e8…3fcabacked Over | 43c | 2,219$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…f1dbbacked Over | 43c | 2,154$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…b1cabacked Over | 43c | 2,102$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33e4…4cb9backed Under | 57c | 2,080$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4c…4b7fbacked Over | 43c | 2,047$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…d0c1backed Under | 57c | 1,911$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5058…9482backed Under | 57c | 1,891$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda98…bb8bbacked Over | 43c | 1,855$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 57c | 1,728$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04fd…4d3ebacked Over | 43c | 1,691$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7f…c9edbacked Under | 57c | 1,558$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 1,518$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…9e83backed Over | 43c | 1,513$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e5…ddd7backed Under | 57c | 1,479$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622d…b9e4backed Under | 57c | 1,217$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042c…7555backed Over | 43c | 1,190$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6815backed Under | 57c | 1,159$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…8146backed Under | 57c | 1,149$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a3…1bb3backed Over | 43c | 1,073$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9669backed Over | 43c | 1,015$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca3…7121backed Over | 43c | 1,004$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…71fbbacked Under | 57c | 997$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5202…1335backed Over | 43c | 921$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9f1fbacked Under | 57c | 911$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2274…b0abbacked Over | 43c | 783$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…e386backed Under | 57c | 771$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac3…c649backed Over | 43c | 717$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581e…fc1bbacked Over | 43c | 675$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ae…e9b7backed Over | 43c | 594$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2af…dfa8backed Under | 57c | 494$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…8993backed Under | 57c | 484$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9546…c6d7backed Over | 43c | 461$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b3…4ee5backed Over | 43c | 420$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 410.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.44 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…f312backed Over | 43c | 410$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2a…8b56backed Over | 43c | 324$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2938…5e71backed Over | 43c | 270$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 44c | 232.38$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…1b60backed Over | 43c | 190$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 57c | 87.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Under | 57c | 87.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Over | 43c | 85.38$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 42c | 72.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…9bedbacked Over | 50c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 48.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Under | 59c | 45.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Under | 47c | 33.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 26.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 235.5this page
- Aaron Nesmith: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Pacers vs. WizardsWizards won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 233.5Under won
- Pacers vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Pacers (-1.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-2.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-3.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-4.5)Wizards won
- T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- T.J. McConnell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- T.J. McConnell: Points O/U 6.5No won
- T.J. McConnell: Points O/U 7.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.