CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb80a7c12c3725f819f02545e433db851816e4c791691d936d1eccf594289ca5

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Novaqof Team Novaq, Rune Eaters
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $28,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,586 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked Rune Eaters	48c	4,500$2,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,174.52	924	56.8%525 W · 399 L	+2.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Novaq	35c	2,252$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,462.38	610	34.3%209 W · 401 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Team Novaq	42c	1,453$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$848	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Rune Eaters	62c	1,234$762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$761.98	335	53.4%179 W · 156 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Team Novaq	44c	1,220$534 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$685.66	83	45.8%38 W · 45 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked Rune Eaters	64c	999.99$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$639.99	142	57%81 W · 61 L	-7.1wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Novaq	57c	847.1$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.53	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0758…9532backed Rune Eaters	43c	704.96$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.13	187	36.4%68 W · 119 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Novaq	55c	628.42$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.79	2,326	45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Rune Eaters	57c	554.99$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.35	245	51.8%127 W · 118 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Novaq	50c	510.58$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.04	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed Team Novaq	51c	507.24$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.61	388	35.6%138 W · 250 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Novaq	54c	315.55$169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.55	357	45.4%162 W · 195 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked Rune Eaters	66c	303.29$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	145	44.8%65 W · 80 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa9…a36dbacked Team Novaq	38c	298.39$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.23	57	38.6%22 W · 35 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94bf…1d2fbacked Rune Eaters	69c	290.52$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Team Novaq	54c	284.83$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.78	198	57.6%114 W · 84 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Novaq	45c	266.83$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.43	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Team Novaq	43c	239.99$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.99	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb238…4961backed Rune Eaters	60c	216.86$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.12	131	42%55 W · 76 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Rune Eaters	55c	182.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	474	47.5%225 W · 249 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Novaq	45c	175$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.45	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Novaq	41c	175$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.84	2,214	47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Rune Eaters	57c	174.61$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	201	56.7%114 W · 87 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Rune Eaters	67c	161$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.69	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Novaq	37c	141.24$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.93	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Rune Eaters	42c	122.77$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.53	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Rune Eaters	41c	118.82$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.92	86	37.2%32 W · 54 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Novaq	43c	100$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.6	199	54.8%109 W · 90 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+10%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Rune Eaters	56c	100$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.6	2,110	47.2%995 W · 1,115 L	-62.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Rune Eaters	71c	99.74$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.22	890	46.1%410 W · 480 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c6c…5e36backed Team Novaq	49c	97.21$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.92	239	56.5%135 W · 104 L	+15.6wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed Team Novaq	37c	95.54$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.54	225	57.3%129 W · 96 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Novaq	49c	89.94$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.87	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Rune Eaters	56c	79.5$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.73	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Team Novaq	50c	77.64$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.58	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34b2…433cbacked Rune Eaters	66c	75.68$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-4.8wins	-0.27per pick	60cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Rune Eaters	72c	75$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	457	54.5%249 W · 208 L	+18.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Rune Eaters	56c	70.03$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.33	364	34.1%124 W · 240 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3b9…06debacked Rune Eaters	53c	70$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.3	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Novaq	35c	65.38$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.5	635	41.9%266 W · 369 L	+10.2wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Team Novaq	55c	60.72$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.26	422	55.7%235 W · 187 L	+13.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc5…6606backed Rune Eaters	52c	49.99$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.22per pick	40cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Novaq	24c	48.7$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.01	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Rune Eaters	64c	46.88$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	374	41.7%156 W · 218 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Rune Eaters	37c	44.58$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.46	700	42.3%296 W · 404 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07e2…6099backed Rune Eaters	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	106	57.5%61 W · 45 L	+9.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa01d…bb78backed Rune Eaters	61c	40.44$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.67	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.20per pick	63cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Rune Eaters	37c	39.83$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	597	3%18 W · 579 L	-221.0wins	-0.37per pick	40cpaid	-90.7%equal weight	11-0.36 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Team Novaq	42c	38.1$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.1	272	48.9%133 W · 139 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Rune Eaters	68c	37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.31	401	41.6%167 W · 234 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Team Novaq	50c	32$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16	331	46.5%154 W · 177 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb08b…e878backed Rune Eaters	64c	31.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	60	55%33 W · 27 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Team Novaq	42c	29.5$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.11	381	31%118 W · 263 L	-11.1wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d2…c938backed Rune Eaters	74c	27.03$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	-10.9wins	-0.13per pick	57cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x45e3…de14backed Rune Eaters	69c	24.83$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.22	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Rune Eaters	76c	21.48$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.33	408	57.1%233 W · 175 L	+15.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x62f2…733cbacked Team Novaq	56c	19.64$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.64	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	71cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Rune Eaters	69c	15$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	640	46.3%296 W · 344 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Group ATeam Novaq won
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 WinnerRune Eaters won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event