CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8773f831dc57ff8ae7d7e1df0638d90e136dc38e0f14f45b47f2a198f8fb2d89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Novaqof Team Novaq, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Team Novaq | 49c | 8,264$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.46 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 6,788$4,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,169.22 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 6,619$3,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,857.01 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Novaq | 47c | 2,529$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.28 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Team Novaq | 42c | 2,419$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.14 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 2,225$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.04 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 2,046$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.25 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Team Novaq | 39c | 1,879$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.55 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…18a2backed Team Novaq | 27c | 1,726$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.39 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Team Novaq | 39c | 1,519$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.06 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 50c | 1,489$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.59 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Rune Eaters | 47c | 1,380$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.8 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Team Novaq | 40c | 1,348$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.01 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…e868backed Team Novaq | 39c | 1,308$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.46 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 1,153$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.99 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Team Novaq | 39c | 1,142$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.8 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 1,101$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.63 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 1,092$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.32 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Team Novaq | 39c | 1,087$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.54 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Novaq | 43c | 1,015$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.02 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 1,009$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.79 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Team Novaq | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 789.46$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.47 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Novaq | 79c | 783.61$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.42 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 739.89$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.3 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked Rune Eaters | 54c | 713.33$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…13dabacked Team Novaq | 42c | 699.99$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.99 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 663.19$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.39 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Team Novaq | 39c | 646$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.06 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…7458backed Rune Eaters | 6c | 593.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Rune Eaters | 16c | 574.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.4 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Novaq | 35c | 572.89$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.91 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Novaq | 56c | 562.71$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.56 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x645f…2c7fbacked Team Novaq | 41c | 553.67$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.04 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4f…6e52backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 543.83$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…8aa4backed Rune Eaters | 44c | 518.84$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.49 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 513.95$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.28 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6754…e4fcbacked Team Novaq | 38c | 501$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.62 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed Team Novaq | 41c | 493.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.51 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 444.23$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.87 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 404.36$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.79 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Team Novaq | 68c | 403.2$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.98 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 400$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Team Novaq | 39c | 393.13$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.53 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Novaq | 56c | 392.22$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.35 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Team Novaq | 39c | 383.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.63 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 368.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 474 | 47.5%225 W · 249 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 362.12$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.17 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Team Novaq | 38c | 348.06$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.15 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Novaq | 56c | 344.71$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.15 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked Team Novaq | 42c | 342$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Team Novaq | 41c | 337.79$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.47 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Team Novaq | 67c | 335.13$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.19 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed Team Novaq | 58c | 327.46$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.03 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Novaq | 42c | 318.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.04 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed Team Novaq | 43c | 318.6$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.6 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 315.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Novaq | 36c | 313.53$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e83…00aabacked Team Novaq | 42c | 310$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.8 | 171 | 42.1%72 W · 99 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Novaq | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.05 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Novaq | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.18 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 289.66$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.11 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Rune Eaters | 73c | 272.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Team Novaq | 42c | 261.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.9 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Team Novaq | 41c | 256.64$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.42 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…8a03backed Team Novaq | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Rune Eaters | 60c | 251.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.75 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed Team Novaq | 41c | 236.24$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.38 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 229.84$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Team Novaq | 43c | 217.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Rune Eaters | 60c | 205$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Novaq | 19c | 203.28$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 201.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Rune Eaters | 32c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Team Novaq | 53c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 198 | 57.6%114 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Team Novaq | 74c | 199.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Team Novaq | 50c | 196.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…b29fbacked Team Novaq | 51c | 195.02$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ca…bc47backed Team Novaq | 42c | 180.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked Team Novaq | 39c | 179.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.79 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa41…255bbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 177.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Novaq | 58c | 176.55$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Team Novaq | 54c | 172.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…ac0bbacked Rune Eaters | 80c | 171.44$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.69 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Rune Eaters | 59c | 169.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 167.77$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 121 | 18.2%22 W · 99 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Novaq | 41c | 165.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4c…6952backed Rune Eaters | 61c | 163.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Novaq | 62c | 162.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.29 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bf…1d2fbacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 158.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Team Novaq | 60c | 151.83$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed Team Novaq | 39c | 151.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…7db2backed Team Novaq | 45c | 150.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Team Novaq | 42c | 147.48$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 359 | 47.9%172 W · 187 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed Team Novaq | 41c | 139.97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 139.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Team Novaq | 41c | 139$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 WinnerRune Eaters won
- Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerTeam Novaq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.