CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9a473b1d1f96821751a81c0fdea64a84a7d6c76c3afd01e54c7993085e67efb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Team Novaq, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Novaq | 33c | 1,365$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.59 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Novaq | 25c | 1,221$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.47 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Novaq | 5c | 848.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Novaq | 20c | 472.83$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 69c | 460.49$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.33 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 430.89$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.9 | 679 | 51.4%349 W · 330 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Team Novaq | 46c | 379.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.99 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468a…c764backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 352.57$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Novaq | 33c | 339.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.69 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Team Novaq | 30c | 319.6$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Team Novaq | 20c | 280.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Team Novaq | 47c | 268.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Team Novaq | 44c | 248.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rune Eaters | 80c | 235.38$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb53…7b74backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 223.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.33 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed Team Novaq | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Rune Eaters | 68c | 212.18$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Team Novaq | 23c | 210$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Novaq | 45c | 199.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 454 | 39.6%180 W · 274 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Novaq | 44c | 188.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Novaq | 34c | 163.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 147.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.28 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Novaq | 36c | 136.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed Rune Eaters | 57c | 120.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc5…6606backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Novaq | 29c | 86.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 85.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Rune Eaters | 70c | 70.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b9…06debacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Rune Eaters | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Team Novaq | 17c | 67.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Rune Eaters | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Novaq | 42c | 52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 51.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Novaq | 48c | 51.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Novaq | 34c | 51$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 49.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 46.63$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Team Novaq | 29c | 41.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Team Novaq | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Team Novaq | 42c | 35.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…bf7abacked Rune Eaters | 74c | 32.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…fe1abacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 26.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…528cbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Rune Eaters | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Group ATeam Novaq won
- Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerTeam Novaq won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.