Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0603835c865fd48ec1a5be0c0e22e4f858bd01899455d93ab6446c3d6214fd51
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Execrationof Execration, Carstensz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1b7…fdf1backed Carstensz | 15c | 15,269$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Carstensz | 44c | 5,500$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Carstensz | 46c | 5,491$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.04 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Carstensz | 21c | 4,142$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.45 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Carstensz | 17c | 2,759$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.78 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Execration | 53c | 2,563$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.13 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Execration | 52c | 2,314$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.64 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Execration | 61c | 2,284$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.82 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Carstensz | 38c | 1,843$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.91 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Carstensz | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed Carstensz | 31c | 1,279$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Execration | 54c | 1,217$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.24 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Execration | 58c | 1,065$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.09 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Carstensz | 39c | 1,033$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.86 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed Carstensz | 40c | 1,008$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Execration | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Carstensz | 3c | 950$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Execration | 61c | 849.14$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.16 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Carstensz | 36c | 831.93$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.49 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Execration | 57c | 792.75$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.55 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Execration | 63c | 791.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.87 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Execration | 56c | 729$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.52 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Execration | 77c | 668.81$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Carstensz | 46c | 645.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Execration | 65c | 632.3$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.3 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Execration | 72c | 603.18$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.98 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Execration | 75c | 602.06$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.54 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Carstensz | 49c | 598.61$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…10b4backed Carstensz | 43c | 586.39$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Carstensz | 43c | 569.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0452…843cbacked Execration | 77c | 567.74$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.96 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Execration | 76c | 559.15$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.58 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Execration | 70c | 535.68$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.7 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Execration | 67c | 534.98$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.28 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Carstensz | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Carstensz | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Carstensz | 38c | 497.62$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.1 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Execration | 80c | 466.52$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Execration | 61c | 447.69$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.69 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Execration | 65c | 447.32$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.57 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Carstensz | 28c | 394.51$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.38 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Carstensz | 48c | 388.89$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.41 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Execration | 66c | 359.83$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.67 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Execration | 63c | 357$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.16 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Execration | 60c | 343.14$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.73 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…9fcdbacked Carstensz | 38c | 332$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Carstensz | 36c | 271.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Carstensz | 39c | 258.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Execration | 57c | 256$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Execration | 53c | 250.94$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Execration | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Execration | 77c | 250$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Carstensz | 48c | 249.18$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Carstensz | 47c | 248.9$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Execration | 72c | 243.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 150 | 69.3%104 W · 46 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2842…e81bbacked Execration | 62c | 223.31$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.86 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Execration | 72c | 202.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Execration | 57c | 202$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Execration | 65c | 190.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Execration | 64c | 187.26$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Execration | 63c | 183$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x381d…f5dabacked Execration | 79c | 164.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Execration | 70c | 163.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Execration | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed Carstensz | 48c | 146.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.14 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Execration | 51c | 137.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Execration | 62c | 133.87$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Carstensz | 26c | 125.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Execration | 60c | 125.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed Carstensz | 38c | 121.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Execration | 65c | 119.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Execration | 63c | 117.66$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Execration | 77c | 115.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 69 | 81.2%56 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Carstensz | 43c | 114.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Execration | 75c | 114.85$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed Execration | 72c | 108.6$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…7541backed Carstensz | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Carstensz | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Execration | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Execration | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Execration | 52c | 99.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Carstensz | 19c | 91.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Execration | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Execration | 56c | 90.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…1e00backed Execration | 61c | 79.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Carstensz | 39c | 74.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Carstensz | 33c | 73.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Carstensz | 45c | 73.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Execration | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Execration | 57c | 69.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Execration | 67c | 57.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Execration | 63c | 52.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.62 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a5…2cbdbacked Execration | 61c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Carstensz | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Execration | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked Carstensz | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…980abacked Execration | 53c | 44.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Execration | 72c | 37.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…e8c7backed Carstensz | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 206 | 61.7%127 W · 79 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Execration | 56c | 35.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsExecration won
- Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz - Game 1 WinnerExecration won
- Game Handicap: XctN (-1.5) vs Carstensz (+1.5)Execration won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.