Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed4540f942ff9abef34797a4b39c87c6d4051e7a097a5c15801a00c8b1b19271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Execrationof Execration, Carstensz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Carstensz | 38c | 21,621$8,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,149.87 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b7…fdf1backed Execration | 65c | 9,741$6,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Carstensz | 32c | 3,428$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.41 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Carstensz | 35c | 3,294$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Execration | 63c | 3,161$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.7 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Execration | 70c | 2,500$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.98 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Execration | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Execration | 60c | 1,716$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.74 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…f9c4backed Execration | 64c | 1,557$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.46 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Carstensz | 17c | 1,468$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.98 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed Execration | 73c | 1,307$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.19 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Execration | 58c | 1,270$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.98 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Execration | 78c | 1,121$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.76 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Execration | 65c | 1,071$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.39 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Carstensz | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Execration | 66c | 1,000$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Carstensz | 32c | 895.58$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.38 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Carstensz | 24c | 874.97$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.8 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Carstensz | 12c | 796.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.02 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Execration | 65c | 764.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.55 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Carstensz | 43c | 697.27$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Execration | 69c | 596.33$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.33 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Execration | 66c | 557.01$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.38 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Execration | 74c | 512.16$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.34 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Execration | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Execration | 60c | 384.46$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.88 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Carstensz | 30c | 383.86$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Execration | 61c | 369$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Execration | 71c | 333.22$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.15 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Execration | 60c | 295.88$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.94 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93aa…6ac0backed Carstensz | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed Execration | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Execration | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Execration | 61c | 234.36$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Carstensz | 44c | 227.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Execration | 64c | 227.19$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Carstensz | 48c | 207.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Carstensz | 37c | 178.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Carstensz | 37c | 173.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Carstensz | 29c | 165.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Execration | 62c | 164.58$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Carstensz | 36c | 162.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.01 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Execration | 71c | 160.43$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Execration | 65c | 159.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.84 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Carstensz | 17c | 153$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Carstensz | 46c | 151.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Execration | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Execration | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed Carstensz | 34c | 135.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.74 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Execration | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Carstensz | 28c | 130$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 208 | 20.7%43 W · 165 L | -18.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Execration | 59c | 125$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Execration | 60c | 123$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…1e00backed Carstensz | 35c | 121.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Execration | 73c | 118$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Carstensz | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Execration | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…1873backed Carstensz | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 198 | 39.4%78 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Execration | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…3c89backed Execration | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec61…f8a1backed Execration | 54c | 88.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Carstensz | 38c | 83.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Carstensz | 35c | 80.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed Execration | 65c | 78.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Carstensz | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…8063backed Carstensz | 31c | 76.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -6.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Carstensz | 41c | 73.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…a307backed Carstensz | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Carstensz | 36c | 64.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Carstensz | 33c | 59.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Execration | 72c | 52.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Carstensz | 40c | 52.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Execration | 69c | 51.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…a3d5backed Execration | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b32…5146backed Carstensz | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 253 | 56.5%143 W · 110 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Execration | 71c | 47.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Execration | 60c | 47.68$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239c…f7c2backed Carstensz | 35c | 42.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Execration | 62c | 39.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Execration | 55c | 39.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Execration | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Execration | 57c | 32.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed Execration | 66c | 30.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Execration | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 306 | 43.5%133 W · 173 L | -22.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Carstensz | 55c | 29.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Execration | 66c | 29.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…e4f5backed Execration | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Execration | 67c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Execration | 61c | 24.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…af3cbacked Execration | 64c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Execration | 68c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Execration | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier PlayoffsExecration won
- Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz - Game 2 WinnerExecration won
- Game Handicap: XctN (-1.5) vs Carstensz (+1.5)Execration won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.