La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a7aac675f67467d100c7617628b83bb47c10d849ade7438e410d09a8a40b397
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 1,221$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.18 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…edaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 31c | 970$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.7 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 32c | 951.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 930.29$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.65 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 521.4$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.56 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 71c | 237.69$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.93 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…997cbacked Yes | 54c | 185.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 179.2$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 164.07$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Yes | 30c | 145$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 31c | 92.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 30c | 88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 30c | 67.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 35c | 65.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 31.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 38c | 31.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 28.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…bdecbacked No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked No | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed No | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c22…70a0backed No | 53c | 26.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed No | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed No | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…e878backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.