La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8979a118e7bf4976a70f40200cd175ba62caa29484cf9b97cd78cd937ed6fb7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,066
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,066 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 39c | 3,938$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.76 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 61c | 2,305$1,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.36 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 1,846$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.34 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 1,021$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 4c | 680.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3ddcbacked No | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 60c | 360$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 40c | 360$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…51f9backed Yes | 67c | 358.97$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…d438backed Yes | 41c | 245.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 42c | 238.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Yes | 40c | 141$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 130.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9d…5eb1backed Yes | 41c | 117.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Yes | 41c | 99.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 42c | 76.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Yes | 40c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 59c | 68.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Yes | 40c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Yes | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 62c | 40.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3e…390fbacked No | 60c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed No | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…d746backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…cb31backed No | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed No | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 61c | 21.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed No | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed No | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…8a2dbacked No | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Leganés win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.