CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6a309328b52b7fbfbac6bafb53c1d53233e3255432735184714f354b73291be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed K27 | 49c | 1,350$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.5 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Virtus.pro | 73c | 1,280$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.22 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 1,151$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.38 | 437 | 64.3%281 W · 156 L | +51.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Virtus.pro | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked K27 | 50c | 920$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed K27 | 26c | 899.83$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.64 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 814.94$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.19 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 691.47$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.3 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed K27 | 56c | 689.62$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.54 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 664.4$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 627.14$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.61 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed K27 | 52c | 605.98$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.42 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788c…b217backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed K27 | 50c | 462.19$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.94 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 459.01$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.69 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 412.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 352.39$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.19 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…24c3backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 350$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5e…ba7ebacked K27 | 54c | 345.84$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked K27 | 41c | 338.59$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.18 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed K27 | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 296.28$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed K27 | 49c | 288.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.38 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Virtus.pro | 75c | 281.57$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.43 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 262.3$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked K27 | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 241.07$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked K27 | 37c | 239.32$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.37 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 237.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked K27 | 52c | 204.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.76 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 195$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked K27 | 20c | 190$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 309 | 38.5%119 W · 190 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 179.89$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.23 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Virtus.pro | 77c | 172.39$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed K27 | 36c | 168.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad2…395abacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 147.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 141.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 141$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 131.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked K27 | 11c | 119$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 117.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked K27 | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 100.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked K27 | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked K27 | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08d…1e00backed K27 | 50c | 96.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.08 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 95.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 95$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked K27 | 45c | 93.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed K27 | 29c | 88.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked K27 | 67c | 87.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed K27 | 53c | 84.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked K27 | 42c | 78.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.91 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked K27 | 44c | 67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked K27 | 58c | 57.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…e878backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Virtus.pro | 75c | 35.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6505…1feebacked K27 | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Virtus.pro | 78c | 28.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 28.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked K27 | 42c | 25.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Virtus.pro | 78c | 15.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.