CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65df6dac03025376c3ad66b1d05227d5030e69020cef4662996a5ce2812d7765
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof K27, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked K27 | 31c | 1,755$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.01 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Virtus.pro | 69c | 1,042$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.01 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 1,013$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.98 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 698.72$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.25 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed K27 | 44c | 690.36$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.45 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…ee15backed K27 | 39c | 653.72$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 645.32$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.98 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Virtus.pro | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed K27 | 32c | 274.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5e…ba7ebacked K27 | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed K27 | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked K27 | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…9335backed K27 | 42c | 90.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked K27 | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed K27 | 31c | 50.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 34.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked K27 | 33c | 34.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8494…814abacked Virtus.pro | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.