CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb59f314433ae7a34bf139e297a9f4bfa9411240610711048f579ba92b9d34b2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 52c | 1,589$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.29 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 48c | 1,138$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.87 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Over | 49c | 1,000$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 47c | 912.82$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.16 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 47c | 668.14$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.41 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 39c | 513.18$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.03 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Over | 45c | 497.78$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.78 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…8bfdbacked Under | 68c | 456.46$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.33 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 53c | 446.85$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.94 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 404 | 49.8%201 W · 203 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 64c | 273.26$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.69 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Over | 48c | 262$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.24 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Over | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Under | 57c | 256.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.8 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 54c | 248.55$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Over | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Under | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Over | 45c | 128.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Over | 46c | 115.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 45c | 112.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…9deabacked Under | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e0…016abacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ad…a700backed Over | 44c | 76.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 52c | 69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 52c | 67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Under | 56c | 65.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Over | 48c | 57.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 55c | 53.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Under | 42c | 52.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 55c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Over | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.