Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6637314891882218b4d6f76f43419ddaf2ac387dd354f5e2c5dd2015323d0fd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzaga Bulldogsof Gonzaga Bulldogs, Santa Clara Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 48c | 6,413$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 51c | 4,841$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.3 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 54c | 2,867$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.91 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Santa Clara Broncos | 50c | 1,250$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.5 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Santa Clara Broncos | 47c | 799.78$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.23 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 55c | 365.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.4 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 50c | 360.91$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.49 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 54c | 320$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Santa Clara Broncos | 46c | 316$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 244$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 55c | 222.81$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Santa Clara Broncos | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 53c | 114.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.05 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 52c | 103$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Santa Clara Broncos | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 51c | 98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 48c | 84.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 51c | 72.93$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 54c | 53.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 52c | 39.24$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…e878backed Santa Clara Broncos | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Santa Clara Broncos | 50c | 25.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 50c | 25.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…9c72backed Santa Clara Broncos | 70c | 20.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…caa5backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-4.5)this page
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara BroncosGonzaga Bulldogs won
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 158.5Over won
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 159.5Over won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-3.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.