Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x467bb0a9328e5256ebdc8db7511adad8d92c419b419f26facf181ec8cf4b074d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzaga Bulldogsof Gonzaga Bulldogs, Santa Clara Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb37e…cf70backed Santa Clara Broncos | 43c | 37,276$16,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,028.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bd…08ffbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 57c | 20,267$11,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,714.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…283bbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 57c | 17,555$10,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,548.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 43c | 3,943$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.94 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 56c | 1,851$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.56 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 40c | 1,171$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.81 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Santa Clara Broncos | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 60c | 833.63$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.8 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 59c | 767.8$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.8 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 61c | 532.37$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.14 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…3f9cbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 43c | 479.57$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 56c | 356$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.64 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 61c | 255$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.63 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…19bcbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 59c | 254.44$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 56c | 190$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.87 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 57c | 171.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 57c | 159$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 55c | 133.01$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 44c | 120.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.36 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 60c | 82.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 56c | 80.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…32b9backed Santa Clara Broncos | 43c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Santa Clara Broncos | 45c | 52.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…c170backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 58c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…a76bbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…1c78backed Santa Clara Broncos | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Santa Clara Broncos | 43c | 23.85$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 57c | 22.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…509cbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b01…1f7abacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 61c | 17.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-3.5)this page
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara BroncosGonzaga Bulldogs won
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 158.5Over won
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 159.5Over won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-4.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.