Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x627ac140735ab74164670ded4b05fff5c1444ce05653b23c7b741678d2e9f368
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gonzaga Bulldogsof Gonzaga Bulldogs, Santa Clara Broncos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x691a…d113backed Santa Clara Broncos | 53c | 3,783$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 2,324$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.51 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 877.42$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Santa Clara Broncos | 53c | 850$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.1 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 846.27$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.85 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Santa Clara Broncos | 51c | 521.86$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.15 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 489.69$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.25 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 480.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 53c | 354.46$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.19 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 305.66$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.94 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Santa Clara Broncos | 53c | 226.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 160$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…958bbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…0922backed Santa Clara Broncos | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Santa Clara Broncos | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Santa Clara Broncos | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 82.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Santa Clara Broncos | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Santa Clara Broncos | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 48c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Santa Clara Broncos | 53c | 33.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Gonzaga Bulldogs | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gonzaga Bulldogs | 50c | 24.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Santa Clara Broncos | 44c | 23.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)this page
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara BroncosGonzaga Bulldogs won
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 158.5Over won
- Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 159.5Over won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-3.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
- Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-4.5)Gonzaga Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.