Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24d180848e3207fac1fc34fe576157d4bf5039c0103b726c9d5f327f8660f0c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona State Sun Devilsof Texas Tech Red Raiders, Arizona State Sun Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,399.99 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 42c | 19,306$8,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,108.32 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 57c | 10,701$6,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.66 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 43c | 10,135$4,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,393.86 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 57c | 4,914$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.9 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 44c | 3,860$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.57 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 2,491$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.47 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 48c | 2,126$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.35 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 44c | 2,000$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 43c | 968.75$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.56 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 781.95$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.56 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 55c | 759$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.13 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 57c | 695.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.81 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 55c | 511.08$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 42c | 464.27$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 440$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.03 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c00…741dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 72c | 417.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.73 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 44c | 406.05$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.67 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 50c | 382$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 44c | 372.76$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.79 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 290.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 44c | 279.07$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 45c | 259$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 54c | 182.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 53c | 172.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 49c | 169.77$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.22 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 44c | 169.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc2…757cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 43c | 130.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 36c | 118.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 71c | 118.04$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…2e7fbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 26c | 95.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…b8f3backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 95.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 49c | 89.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…72bdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 45c | 89.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…9827backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 85.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 73c | 68.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 57.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 45c | 51.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 40c | 50.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 57c | 49.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 64c | 47.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 43.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…3efdbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 47c | 42.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 44c | 42.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 41.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 55c | 41.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…e878backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 56c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 45c | 26.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arizona State Sun Devils | 55c | 25.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 24.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5ebbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Arizona State Sun Devils | 57c | 17.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-8.5)this page
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-6.5)Arizona State Sun Devils won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)Arizona State Sun Devils won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun DevilsArizona State Sun Devils won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 151.5Under won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 152.5Under won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 153.5Under won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 154.5Under won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.