Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 154.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c60308d5aaecad506e22c139aaba581cf59146fde5f2a3a9bb0f4a93486ff8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,575
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 50c | 26,916$13,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,337.91 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 46c | 19,907$9,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,749.69 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 54c | 19,656$10,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,614.35 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 51c | 16,502$8,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,168.49 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 7,771$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.09 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.05 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 2,971$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 56c | 2,680$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 2,005$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.93 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 55c | 1,186$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.9 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 51c | 974.74$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Over | 28c | 904.78$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.22 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 48c | 874.76$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.78 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 679.82$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.11 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 45c | 635.56$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Under | 47c | 504.26$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.26 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 504.16$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.29 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 50c | 503.6$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.8 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…08a9backed Under | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 52c | 312.31$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 48c | 302.08$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Under | 46c | 301.63$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 282.42$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 50c | 275.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.73 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Under | 50c | 242$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Over | 54c | 236$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Over | 52c | 204.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 27c | 195$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe379…377cbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 41c | 162.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 147.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b56…b99abacked Under | 79c | 126.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 73cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 73c | 113.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e944backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 91.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Under | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…733cbacked Over | 51c | 85.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…254dbacked Under | 77c | 62.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 22c | 61.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 45c | 59.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 45c | 55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Under | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked Under | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 62c | 50.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…09f9backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Under | 50c | 47.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x359a…01f0backed Under | 46c | 43.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 32.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed Under | 50c | 31.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Under | 46c | 30.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 50c | 27.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…3ebfbacked Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 57c | 21.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a20…3eb9backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e3…ac06backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf804…8758backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 53c | 19.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 154.5this page
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-6.5)Arizona State Sun Devils won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-7.5)Arizona State Sun Devils won
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-8.5)Arizona State Sun Devils won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun DevilsArizona State Sun Devils won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 151.5Under won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 152.5Under won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 153.5Under won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State Sun Devils: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.